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Experiences with the Introduction of a Payment Moratorium in Hungary

Author

Listed:
  • Áron Drabancz

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Gabriella Grosz

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Alexandr Palicz

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Balázs Varga

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

Abstract

The payment moratorium, which was introduced in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic in Hungary as well, has become an internationally widespread crisis management tool. In our study, we analyse the demographic and income characteristics of bank clients who have participated in the payment moratorium and the direct impact of the payment moratorium on the liquidity of debtors and on bank profitability. The analysis is based on transaction-level data available to the Magyar Nemzeti Bank (the Central Bank of Hungary, MNB) that is detailed in international comparison as well. Based on our examination, the payment moratorium has proven to be an effective tool for mitigating the short-term default risk of potentially vulnerable debtors. It has also provided significant additional liquidity at the level of the national economy to offset the negative impacts of the pandemic, while causing only moderate direct costs at the level of the banking system. On the whole, the payment moratorium can be considered an effective and efficient crisis management tool for exogenous economic shocks similar to the coronavirus pandemic, which is also confirmed by its international prevalence.

Suggested Citation

  • Áron Drabancz & Gabriella Grosz & Alexandr Palicz & Balázs Varga, 2021. "Experiences with the Introduction of a Payment Moratorium in Hungary," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 20(1), pages 5-42.
  • Handle: RePEc:mnb:finrev:v:20:y:2021:i:1:p:5-42
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    File URL: https://en-hitelintezetiszemle.mnb.hu/letoltes/fer-20-1-st1-drabancz-grosz-palicz-varga.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gusztáv Báger & Bianka Parragh, 2020. "The Coronavirus Crisis, Sustainable Development and the Incentive State Model," Public Finance Quarterly, State Audit Office of Hungary, vol. 65(6), pages 86-115.
    2. Gaffney, Edward & Greaney, Darren, 2020. "COVID-19 payment breaks on residential mortgages," Financial Stability Notes 5/FS/20, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. World Bank, 2020. "Response to COVID-19," World Bank Publications - Reports 33738, The World Bank Group.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Berlinger, Edina & Kiss, Hubert János & Khayouti, Sára, 2022. "Loan forbearance takeup in the Covid-era - The role of time preferences and locus of control," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Edina Berlinger & Sára Khayouti & Hubert János Kiss, 2022. "Time discounting predicts loan forbearance takeup," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 2201, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    3. Várkonyi, Patrik & Szücs, Tamás & Cziglerné, Erb Edina & Pasitka, Ármin, 2024. "A pénzügyi instrumentumok új számviteli standardja a Covid árnyékában [European banks implementation of IFRS 9 in the shadow of the pandemic]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 201-222.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    coronavirus pandemic; financial stability; payment moratorium; credit risk; financial regulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • M48 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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