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An Analysis of the Dynamic Relationships Between the South African Equity Market and Major World Equity Markets

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  • Asjeet S. Lamba

    (The University of Melbourne, Australia)

  • Isaac Otchere

    (The University of Melbourne, Australia)

Abstract

This paper provides the first comprehensive analysis of the dynamic relationships between the South African and major world equity markets during May 1988 - May 2000. Using a multivariate cointegration framework and vector error-correction modeling the results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between the South African market and major developed markets. Over the full sample period, the US, Canada and Australia exert the most influence on South Africa, while the influence of Japan is minimal. The subperiod analysis shows that, during the Apartheid period, a long-run equilibrium relationship between South Africa and the major developed markets did not exist. In contrast, during the post-Apartheid period, the long-run relationship has become strong and statistically significant for all the major developed markets, except Japan. Overall, the results imply that South Africa is now much more economically and financially integrated with major developed markets, and that the removal of Apartheid has played a significant role in this process.

Suggested Citation

  • Asjeet S. Lamba & Isaac Otchere, 2001. "An Analysis of the Dynamic Relationships Between the South African Equity Market and Major World Equity Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 5(3), pages 201-224, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:mfj:journl:v:5:y:2001:i:3:p:201-224
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Costas M. Stephanou & Gawie S. du Toit & Marius J. Maritz, 2003. "The Release of Nelson Mandela: Effect on the Johannesburg Securities Exchange," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 7(3-4), pages 153-175, September.
    2. Mohamed Shikh Albaity & Hamdia Mudor, 2012. "Return performance, Cointegration and short run dynamics of Islamic and non-Islamic indices: evidence from the US and Malaysia during the subprime crisis," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 1, pages 1-1, June.
    3. Mpoha, Salifya & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2021. "Spillover effects from China and the US to global emerging markets: a dynamic analysis," MPRA Paper 109349, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huo, Rui, 2018. "China–Africa financial markets linkages: Volatility and interdependence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1140-1164.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    co-integration; emerging markets; South Africa; vector errorcorrection model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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