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Profits, confidence, and public deficits: modeling Minsky's institutional dynamics

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  • ERIC NASICA
  • ALAIN RAYBAUT

Abstract

In this paper, we present a Minskyan model that deals explicitly with the influence of the institutional dynamics on the relation between finance, investment, and economic fluctuations. We show that stabilization policy can be efficient in certain cases--namely, when fiscal policy is sensitive enough to variations in private investment. In contrast, the economy is unstable when the deficit constraint is not flexible enough. These results, which echo recent debates and proposals on budget deficit rules in the Economic and Monetary Union, are fully consistent with the way Minsky considered that public authorities should "stabilize an unstable economy."

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Nasica & Alain Raybaut, 2005. "Profits, confidence, and public deficits: modeling Minsky's institutional dynamics," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 136-154.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:28:y:2005:i:1:p:136-154
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2005.11051465
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    Cited by:

    1. Eleonora Cavallaro & Bernardo Maggi, 2016. "State of confidence, overborrowing and the macroeconomic stabilization puzzle: a system dynamic approach," Working Papers in Public Economics 174, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    2. Sébastien Charles, 2008. "Teaching Minsky's financial instability hypothesis: a manageable suggestion," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 125-138, September.
    3. Charles, Sébastien & Dallery, Thomas, 2013. "Le Canada et l’austérité expansionniste dans les années quatre-vingt-dix : un « succès » macroéconomique à revisiter ?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 89(3), pages 207-230, Septembre.
    4. Reissl, Severin, 2020. "Minsky from the bottom up – Formalising the two-price model of investment in a simple agent-based framework," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 109-142.
    5. Cavallaro, Eleonora & Maggi, Bernardo, 2016. "State of confidence, overborrowing and macroeconomic stabilization in out-of-equilibrium dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 210-223.
    6. Ryoo, Soon, 2010. "Long waves and short cycles in a model of endogenous financial fragility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 163-186, June.
    7. Hideyuki Adachi & Atsushi Miyake, 2015. "A Macrodynamic Analysis of Financial Instability," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Hideyuki Adachi & Tamotsu Nakamura & Yasuyuki Osumi (ed.), Studies in Medium-Run Macroeconomics Growth, Fluctuations, Unemployment, Inequality and Policies, chapter 5, pages 117-146, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Chiarella Carl & Di Guilmi Corrado, 2012. "The Fiscal Cost of Financial Instability," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-29, October.

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