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Stock Market Spread Trading: Argentina and Brazil Stock Indexes

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  • Jonathan Batten
  • Peter Szilagyi
  • Michael Wong

Abstract

Brazil has the largest stock market in South America; Argentina has one of the smallest. We investigate the spread relationship between these two markets, measured as the ratio of Brazil's Bovespa index to Argentina's Merval index. Using rescaled range analysis, we identify the presence of a time-varying fractal structure in this ratio. When a Hurst-based trading rule is applied, we find that episodes of fractality may be exploited by traders. Under some circumstances, these strategies are more profitable than economic gains from simple moving average systems, which exploit the autocorrelation structure of the series.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Batten & Peter Szilagyi & Michael Wong, 2014. "Stock Market Spread Trading: Argentina and Brazil Stock Indexes," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(S3), pages 61-76.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:50:y:2014:i:s3:p:61-76
    DOI: 10.2753/REE1540-496X5003S304
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    Cited by:

    1. Samargandi, Nahla & Kutan, Ali M., 2016. "Private credit spillovers and economic growth: Evidence from BRICS countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 56-84.
    2. Ankudinov, Andrei & Ibragimov, Rustam & Lebedev, Oleg, 2017. "Heavy tails and asymmetry of returns in the Russian stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 200-219.

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