IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/emfitr/v47y2011i2p31-47.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Options Trading Based on the Forecasting of Volatility Direction with the Incorporation of Investor Sentiment

Author

Listed:
  • Her-Jiun Sheu
  • Yu-Chen Wei

Abstract

Using options price data on the Taiwanese stock market, we propose an options trading strategy based on the forecasting of volatility direction. The forecasting models are constructed with the incorporation of absolute returns, heterogeneous autoregressive-realized volatility (HAR-RV), and proxy of investor sentiment. After we take into consideration the margin-based transaction costs, the results of our simulated trading indicate that a straddle trading strategy that considers the forecasting of volatility direction with the incorporation of market turnover achieves the best Sharpe ratios. Our trading algorithm bridges the gap between options trading, market volatility, and the information content of investor overreaction.

Suggested Citation

  • Her-Jiun Sheu & Yu-Chen Wei, 2011. "Options Trading Based on the Forecasting of Volatility Direction with the Incorporation of Investor Sentiment," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(2), pages 31-47, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:47:y:2011:i:2:p:31-47
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=contribution&id=R5078T67V7727603
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tseng‐Chan Tseng & Hung‐Cheng Lai & Jih‐Kuang Chen, 2022. "Impacts of relatively rational and irrational investor sentiment on realized volatility," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 458-478, December.
    2. Wael DAMMAK, 2024. "Assessing Effect of Market Sentiment on Pricing of European Currency Options ‎," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(6), pages 1224-1244, June.
    3. Atilgan, Yigit & Demirtas, K. Ozgur & Simsek, Koray D., 2016. "Derivative markets in emerging economies: A survey," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 88-102.
    4. Kelvin Mutum, 2020. "Volatility Forecast Incorporating Investors’ Sentiment and its Application in Options Trading Strategies: A Behavioural Finance Approach at Nifty 50 Index," Vision, , vol. 24(2), pages 217-227, June.
    5. Chunpeng Yang & Bin Gao & Jianlei Yang, 2016. "Option pricing model with sentiment," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 147-164, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:47:y:2011:i:2:p:31-47. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MREE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.