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International Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility : Empirical Comparison Between Friends and Foes

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  • TAUFIQ CHOUDHRY

Abstract

This paper investigates stock market mean returns and volatility spillover between stock markets of political and friendly countries. The potential foes and friends are selected according to the political situations in the past ten years. The three pairs of foes tested are Israel-Jordan, India-Pakistan, and Greece-Turkey. The United States has been historically and traditionally friendly toward these six countries. Spillover between the United States and these countries is also investigated. The empirical tests are conducted by means of a nonlinear GARCH-t model. Results indicate bidirectional mean and volatility spillover between two countries not on friendly terms. Results also provide ample evidence that mean and volatility spillover takes place from a larger distant friendly country (the United States) to these smaller emerging markets, but not much the other way around.

Suggested Citation

  • Taufiq Choudhry, 2004. "International Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility : Empirical Comparison Between Friends and Foes," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 33-52, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:40:y:2004:i:4:p:33-52
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    Cited by:

    1. Labidi, Chiaz & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Quantile dependence between developed and emerging stock markets aftermath of the global financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 179-211.
    2. Abdul Wahid & Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz, 2018. "The Paradigm Shift in the Pakistan Stock Exchange’s Financial Integration Post-FTA and CPEC," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 23(1), pages 21-50, Jan-June.
    3. Fiona Tregenna & Kabeya C. Mulamba, 2019. "Spatial dependence of per capita property tax income in South Africa," Working Papers 202, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    4. Marco Morales & Carola Moreno & Camilo Vio, 2014. "Foreign Shocks on Chilean Financial Markets: Spillovers and Comovements Between Bond and Equity Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(S5), pages 35-50, September.
    5. Aymen Ben Rejeb, 2013. "Volatility spillovers and contagion: an empirical analysis of structural changes in emerging market volatility," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 56-71.
    6. Abbas, Qaisar & Khan, Sabeen & Shah, Syed Zulfiqar Ali, 2013. "Volatility transmission in regional Asian stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 66-77.
    7. Kübra Akca & Serda Selin Ozturk, 2016. "The Effect of 2008 Crisis on the Volatility Spillovers among Six Major Markets," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 16(1), pages 169-178, March.

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