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Effects of Price Limits on Volatility: Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange

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  • RECEP BILDIK
  • SELIM ELEKDAG

Abstract

In spite of the strong existence of price limits in financial markets, there is not much agreement and information on the effects of price limits on volatility and price discovery, which has important policy implications for the investors and regulators. This study examines the effects of price limits on stock return volatility by testing the overreaction and information hypotheses for the Istanbul Stock Exchange. We implement structural break tests as well as a comprehensive GARCH framework to estimate the impact of price limits on volatility, controlling for structural breaks, financial and economic crises, trading activity, and business cycle fluctuations. Our results do not support the information hypothesis. The fundamental conclusion of this paper is that the two-hour break between the two daily sessions reduces volatility by acting as a circuit breaker, which facilitates the dissemination of valuable information, thus preventing severe overreactions to news events, which are consistent with the overreaction hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Recep Bildik & Selim Elekdag, 2004. "Effects of Price Limits on Volatility: Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 5-34, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:40:y:2004:i:1:p:5-34
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Zeguang & Hou, Keqiang & Zhang, Chao, 2021. "The impacts of circuit breakers on China's stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Deb, Saikat Sovan & Kalev, Petko S & Marisetty, Vijaya B, 2017. "Price limits and volatility," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 142-156.
    3. İskenderoglu Ömer & Akdag Saffet, 2020. "Comparison of the Effect of Vix Fear Index on Stock Exchange Indices of Developed and Developing Countries: the G20 Case," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 15(1), pages 105-121, June.
    4. Wonse Kim & Sungjae Jun, 2018. "Effects of a Price limit Change on Market Stability at the Intraday Horizon in the Korean Stock Market," Papers 1805.04728, arXiv.org.
    5. Pham Dan Khanh & Pham Thanh Dat & Bui Huy Nhuong, 2020. "A Re-examination of the Holiday Effect in Stock Returns: The Case of Vietnam," Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology, Learning Gate, vol. 4(1), pages 51-54.
    6. Kim, Yong H. & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2008. "The effect of price limits on intraday volatility and information asymmetry," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 522-538, November.
    7. Seza Danışoğlu & Z. Nuray Güner, 2018. "Do price limits help control stock price volatility?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 129-157, January.
    8. Deb, Saikat Sovan & Kalev, Petko S. & Marisetty, Vijaya B., 2013. "Flexible price limits: The case of Tokyo Stock Exchange," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 66-84.

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