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The Russian Financial Crisis and Its Consequences for Central Asia

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  • GONZALO PASTOR
  • TATIANA DAMJANOVIC

Abstract

This paper reviews the economic conditions in central Asia at the time of the Russian financial crisis of August 1998, the channels by which the crisis was transmitted to the central Asian region, and the policy responses. The paper concludes that, although real exchange rates of central Asian national currencies vis-à-vis the Russian ruble have returned to their precrisis levels following the nominal devaluations that ensued, other indicators of external competitiveness, such as unit labor cost indices, suggest the need for further surveillance in this area. Also, it is not yet clear if full exchange rate flexibility has been established in central Asia despite the protracted and costly exits from the nominal exchange rates in place at the time of the crisis. Finally, the ratio of debt to GDP in central Asia, which grew rapidly between 1998 and 1999 in the context of large exchange rate adjustments, remain a challenge for the Tajik and Kyrgyz authorities, in particular.

Suggested Citation

  • Gonzalo Pastor & Tatiana Damjanovic, 2003. "The Russian Financial Crisis and Its Consequences for Central Asia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 79-104, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:39:y:2003:i:3:p:79-104
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Linz, Susan J. & Semykina, Anastasia, 2008. "Attitudes and performance: An analysis of Russian workers," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 694-717, April.
    2. Dastan ASEİNOV & Kamalbek KARYMSHAKOV, 2018. "Development of the Banking System in Kyrgyzstan: An Historical Review and Current Challenges," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society.
    3. Arman Mazhikeyev & T.Huw Edwards & Marian Rizov, 2014. "Openness and Isolation: the comparative trade performance of the Former Soviet Central Asian countries," Discussion Paper Series 2014_02, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Feb 2014.
    4. Pasadilla, Gloria O., 2010. "Financial Crisis, Trade Finance, and SMEs: Case of Central Asia," ADBI Working Papers 187, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    5. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2013. "Measuring financial stress in transition economies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 597-611.
    6. Kakhkharov, Jakhongir, 2004. "Uzbek-Russian Economic Relations and the Impact of the Russian Economic Performance on Uzbekistan's Growth and Foreign Trade," MPRA Paper 64026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. ARMAN MAZHIKEYEV & Huw Edwards, 2015. "Consequences Of Asymmetric Deeper Eurasian Economic Integration," EcoMod2015 8365, EcoMod.

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