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Interlinkage Between Economic, Financial, and Political Risks in the Balkan Countries: Evidence from a Panel Cointegration

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  • Dervis Kirikkaleli

Abstract

This article explores the long-run and causal linkages among economic, financial, and political country risk indicators for seven Balkan countries. Panel cointegration, FMOLS, DOLS, and the Granger and Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality tests are implemented. The empirical findings reveal that (1) there is a positive linkage between financial stability and economic stability in the seven countries in the long run, while financial stability has significant and positive impacts on political stability; and (2) vulnerability in economic and financial stability significantly leads to changes in political stability.

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  • Dervis Kirikkaleli, 2016. "Interlinkage Between Economic, Financial, and Political Risks in the Balkan Countries: Evidence from a Panel Cointegration," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 208-227, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:eaeuec:v:54:y:2016:i:3:p:208-227
    DOI: 10.1080/00128775.2016.1168704
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    Cited by:

    1. Faheem Ur Rehman & Abul Ala Noman & Yibing Ding, 2020. "Does infrastructure increase exports and reduce trade deficit? Evidence from selected South Asian countries using a new Global Infrastructure Index," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
    2. Ewert Kleynhans & Clive Coetzee, 2021. "Regional Business Confidence as Early Indicator of Regional Economic Growth," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 19(1 (Spring), pages 27-48.
    3. Milena М. Kovachevich, 2021. "Economic Growth In The Eurozone And On The Balkans: A Cointegration Analysis," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 3 Year 20, pages 59-70.
    4. Kondoz, Mehmet & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Athari, Seyed Alireza, 2021. "Time-frequency dependencies of financial and economic risks in South American countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 170-181.
    5. Xiaojuan He & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Melike Torun & Zecheng Li, 2021. "Modeling Economic Risk in the QISMUT Countries: Evidence From Nonlinear Cointegration Tests," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
    6. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal, 2020. "The impact of Israeli Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market: A Destabilizer Multiplier," MPRA Paper 99376, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Filipos RUXHO & Christos Ap. LADIAS, 2022. "Increasing Funding For The Regional Industry Of Kosovo And The Impact On Economic Growth," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 117-126, June.
    8. Ndubuisi N. Udemezue & Catherine A. Nneli & Stephen F. Aleke & Frankine C. Okeke, 2024. "Evaluating Sustainable Relationship between Stock Market Development and Nigeria’s Economic Growth," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(1), pages 2449-2470, January.
    9. Dervis Kirikkaleli, 2019. "Time–frequency dependency of financial risk and economic risk: evidence from Greece," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Chen, Huangxin & Shi, Yi & Zhao, Xin, 2022. "Investment in renewable energy resources, sustainable financial inclusion and energy efficiency: A case of US economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    11. Babatunde Akinmade & Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Festus Victor Bekun, 2020. "The impact of stock market manipulation on Nigeria’s economic performance," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, December.
    12. Meng, Bing & Xue, Kunkun & Han, Miaoyi, 2022. "Digitalization, natural resources rents, and financial market risk: Evidence from G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    13. Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Sokri, Abderrahmane & Candemir, Mehmet & Ertugrul, Hasan Murat, 2017. "Panel cointegration: Long-run relationship between internet, electricity consumption and economic growth. Evidence from OECD countries," MPRA Paper 114709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Li, Yumei & Naqvi, Bushra & Caglar, Ersin & Chu, Chien-Chi, 2020. "N-11 countries: Are the new victims of resource-curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    15. Abroon Qazi & Mecit Can Emre Simsekler, 2022. "Prioritizing interdependent drivers of financial, economic, and political risks using a data-driven probabilistic approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(2), pages 164-185, June.
    16. Dalina-Maria ANDREI, 2021. "New Companies’ Formation In Romania. A Pvar Model Approach," Internal Auditing and Risk Management, Athenaeum University of Bucharest, vol. 62(2), pages 30-45, June.
    17. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Kelvin Onyibor, 2020. "The Effects of Financial and Political Risks on Economic Risk in Southern European Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(1), pages 381-393, January.
    18. Ayhan Orhan & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Fatih Ayhan, 2019. "Analysis of Wavelet Coherence: Service Sector Index and Economic Growth in an Emerging Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-12, November.
    19. DerviÅŸ Kirikkaleli & Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2022. "Time And Frequency Dependency Of Foreign Exchange Rates And Country Risk:Evidence From Turkey," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 37-54, June.
    20. Rahman, Sami Ur & Faisal, Faisal & Ali, Adnan & Mansor, Nur Naha Abu & Ul Haq, Zahoor & Sulimany, Hamid Ghazi H & Ramakrishnan, Suresh, 2024. "Assessing Country Risk in the Stock Market and Economic Growth Nexus: Fresh Insights from Bootstrap Panel Causality," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 294-302.
    21. Kaodui Li & Easmond Baah Nketia & Yusheng Kong & Michael Appiah, 2023. "An Introspective Analysis of Inclusive Growth in Africa, With an Eminence on the Influence of Governance and Financial Development Interaction," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, April.
    22. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2023. "The regime switching evidence of financial-economic-political risk in Turkey," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 3747-3762, August.

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