IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/chinec/v48y2015i2p114-129.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Offline Oversubscription, Issue Size, and Market Momentum: The Driving Forces for ChiNext IPOs’ Initial Underpricing

Author

Listed:
  • Qi Deng
  • Zhong-guo Zhou

Abstract

This paper reexamines the driving forces for the first day initial return for ChiNext IPOs. We start from screening 29 potential explanatory variables, 4 policy break dummies, and 2 intraday trading suspension dummies, using an OLS model with dimension reduction techniques to identify significant variables. We then apply a 2SLS procedure to remove endogeneity without losing any important information. With the variables identified from the 2SLS model, we further apply a GARCH-M model with an ARMA(1,1) adjustment in the residuals to correct possible autocorrelation in the regression residuals and cross-correlation between the initial return and its conditional return variance. We find that the model fits the data well. From a number of potential factors in pricing Chinese IPOs, we identify three factors that drive the initial underpricing of ChiNext IPOs: the pre-issue share allocation multiplier from institutional investors (offline oversubscription), issue size (size effect), and the listing day stock market condition (market momentum). We estimate the contribution to the initial underpricing from each of the significant variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Qi Deng & Zhong-guo Zhou, 2015. "Offline Oversubscription, Issue Size, and Market Momentum: The Driving Forces for ChiNext IPOs’ Initial Underpricing," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 114-129, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:chinec:v:48:y:2015:i:2:p:114-129
    DOI: 10.1080/10971475.2015.993217
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/10971475.2015.993217
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/10971475.2015.993217?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Qi Deng & Lunge Dai & Zixin Yang & Zhong-guo Zhou & Monica Hussein & Dingyi Chen & Mick Swartz, 2022. "The Impact of Regulation Regime Changes on ChiNext IPOs: Effects of 2013 and 2020 Reforms on Pricing and Overreaction," Papers 2212.11779, arXiv.org.
    2. Deng, Qi & Dai, Lunge & Yang, Zixin & Zhou, Zhong-Guo & Hussein, Monica & Chen, Dingyi & Swartz, Mick, 2023. "The impacts of regulation regime changes on ChiNext IPOs: Effects of 2013 and 2020 reforms on initial return, fair value and overreaction," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Deng, Qi & Zhou, Zhong-guo, 2016. "Overreaction in ChiNext IPOs' initial returns: How much and what caused it?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 82-103.
    4. Deng, Qi & Zheng, Linhong & Peng, Jiaqi & Li, Xu & Zhou, Zhong-guo & Hussein, Monica & Chen, Dingyi & Swartz, Mick, 2024. "The impacts of registration regime implementation on IPO pricing efficiency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Monica Hussein & Zhong-guo Zhou & Qi Deng, 2020. "Does risk disclosure in prospectus matter in ChiNext IPOs’ initial underpricing?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 957-979, April.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:chinec:v:48:y:2015:i:2:p:114-129. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MCES20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.