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Demographic Change, Savings, Investment, and Economic Growth

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  • Xing Li
  • Zeguang Li
  • Man-wah Luke Chan

Abstract

Few would doubt that China's demographic changes have had a significant impact on its economic growth, but little attention has been given to distinguishing specific structural indicators of this trend. This article investigates the growth effects of China's demographic changes in the realms of labor supply and human capital improvement on savings and investment. Using provincial panel data, the results show that China's demographic structure is in a transitional phase in which economic growth is fostered by the increasing savings and investment rates of its aging population. The issue of how to take advantage of this growing population sector for savings, investment, and economic growth has important policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Xing Li & Zeguang Li & Man-wah Luke Chan, 2012. "Demographic Change, Savings, Investment, and Economic Growth," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 5-20, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:chinec:v:45:y:2012:i:2:p:5-20
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Du, Xuyang & Mohd, Saidatulakmal, 2024. "Urban–Rural heterogeneity in the effect of population ageing on the savings rate of urban and rural households in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 999-1010.
    2. Renuga Nagarajan & Aurora A.C. Teixeira & Sandra T. Silva, 2013. "The impact of an ageing population on economic growth: an exploratory review of the main mechanisms," FEP Working Papers 504, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    3. Renuga Nagarajan & Aurora A. C. Teixeira & Sandra Silva, 2017. "The Impact Of Population Ageing On Economic Growth: A Bibliometric Survey," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(02), pages 275-296, June.
    4. Renuga Nagarajan & Aurora A.C. Teixeira & Sandra T. Silva, 2013. "The impact of population ageing on economic growth: an in-depth bibliometric analysis," FEP Working Papers 505, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    5. Hu, May & Zhang, Jing & Chao, Chichur, 2019. "Regional financial efficiency and its non-linear effects on economic growth in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 193-206.
    6. Soo Khoon Goh & Koi Nyen Wong & Robert McNown, 2024. "Macroeconomic effects of demographic change: From the perspective of China's urbanisation," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(2), pages 440-461, February.
    7. Mónica L. Azevedo & Óscar Afonso & Sandra T. Silva, 2017. "Endogenous Growth and Intellectual Property Rights: A North–South Modelling Proposal with Population Ageing," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(1), pages 72-94, March.
    8. Mamun, Shamsul Arifeen Khan & Rahman, Mohammad Mafizur & Khanam, Rasheda, 2020. "The relation between an ageing population and economic growth in Bangladesh: Evidence from an endogenous growth model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 14-25.

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