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Demographic Dynamics and Economic Take-Off

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  • Zhihao Yu

Abstract

This article develops and tests a simple theory of demographic dynamics and economic take-off. It shows that demographic change has a threshold effect, and that China's population policies moved this threshold effect (i.e., the timing of economic take-off) forward by more than a decade. The impact of China's population-control policies on China's economic growth may be twice as large as what is estimated by the traditional econometric method.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhihao Yu, 2011. "Demographic Dynamics and Economic Take-Off," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 72-90, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:chinec:v:44:y:2011:i:1:p:72-90
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