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Inflation and the Capital Stock

Author

Listed:
  • Crosby, Mark
  • Otto, Glenn

Abstract

There is a long literature examining the theoretical relationship between the rate of inflation and the size of the capital stock in an economy. This literature has produced varied predictions about the effects of inflation on the capital stock. In this paper we present some time series evidence on this issue. We estimate a structural VAR model for thirty-four countries and discover that for the majority of these countries there is no statistically significant long run effect of inflation on the capital stock. Moreover, for countries where a significant effect is found, the long run coefficient estimate is typically positive. Overall, our empirical results support the view that the long run level of the capital stock is invariant to permanent changes in the inflation rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Crosby, Mark & Otto, Glenn, 2000. "Inflation and the Capital Stock," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(2), pages 236-253, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:236-53
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    Cited by:

    1. Faria, João Ricardo & Mollick, André Varella & Sachsida, Adolfo & Wang, Le, 2012. "Do central banks affect Tobin's q?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-10.
    2. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2005. "Contrasting Models of the Effect of Inflation on Growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 113-136, February.
    3. E. Chuke NWUDE, 2013. "A Critical Analysis of Inflation-Hedging Capacity of Packaging Stocks in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(11), pages 1435-1459, November.
    4. Matsuoka, Tarishi & Watanabe, Makoto, 2019. "Banking crises and liquidity in a monetary economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Edgar Ghossoub, 2010. "Liquidity Risk and Financial Competition: Implications on Asset Prices and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 0003, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    6. E. Chuke NWUDE, 2013. "Inflation-Hedging Properties of Petroleum Marketing Stocks in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(12), pages 1488-1512, December.
    7. Dearmon, Jacob & Grier, Robin, 2011. "Trust and the accumulation of physical and human capital," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 507-519, September.
    8. Edgar A. Ghossoub, 2009. "Liquidity Risk and Banks’ Asset Composition: Implications for Monetary Policy," Working Papers 0096, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    9. Brian O'Reilly, 1998. "The Benefits of Low Inflation: Taking Shock "A nickel ain't worth a dime any more" [Yogi Berra]," Technical Reports 83, Bank of Canada.
    10. E. Chuke NWUDE, 2013. "The Impact of Inflation on Stock Market Investment Performance: Evidence from Airlines Automobiles Road Transport and Maritime Sectors Stocks of the Nigerian Stock Exchange," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(10), pages 1257-1276, October.
    11. James B. Bullard, 1999. "Testing long-run monetary neutrality propositions: lessons from the recent research," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 81(Nov), pages 57-77.
    12. D.P. Chaudhri & E. Wilson, 2000. "Savings, Investment, Productivity and Economic Growth of Australia 1861–1990: Some Explorations," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 76(232), pages 55-73, March.
    13. Gaetano Antinolfi & Claudia M. Landeo & Maxim Nikitin, 2007. "Dollarization and the inflation threshold," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 628-649, May.
    14. E. Chuke NWUDE, 2013. "Are Building Materials Stocks a Hedge against Inflation in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(10), pages 1343-1361, October.
    15. Shu‐Hua Chen, 2018. "The Credit‐Channel Transmission Mechanism And The Nonlinear Growth And Welfare Effects Of Inflation And Taxes," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 724-744, April.
    16. Tarishi Matsuoka & Makoto Watanabe, 2017. "Banking Panics and Liquidity in a Monetary Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series 6722, CESifo.
    17. Maxim Nikitin & Steven Russell, 2006. "Monetary policy arithmetic: reconciling theory with evidence," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 348-374, February.
    18. Shu-Hua Chen, 2015. "Fiscal and Monetary Policies in a Transactions-Based Endogenous Growth Model with Imperfect Competition," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 66(1), pages 89-111, March.
    19. Chang, Wen-ya & Chen, Ying-an & Chang, Juin-jen, 2013. "Growth and welfare effects of monetary policy with endogenous fertility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 117-130.
    20. Rapach, David E., 2002. "The long-run relationship between inflation and real stock prices," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 331-351, September.
    21. John Keating, 2004. "Interpreting Permanent and Transitory Shocks to Output When Aggregate Demand May Not Be Neutral in the Long-run," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 608, Econometric Society.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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