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An Impact Assessment of Expected Future Turmoil Risk on FDI: A Panel Data Analysis of Developing Countries

Author

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  • Mahvish Faran

    (Visiting faculty, Lahore School of Economics, Pakistan.)

Abstract

This paper uses foreign direct investment (FDI) data from 39 developing countries for the period 2002–11 to explore whether the expected future turmoil risk of a country plays a significant role in determining FDI. It concludes that countries for which the expected future turmoil risk is very high are likely to have lower FDI inflows than countries for which the expected future turmoil risk is low, keeping all other factors constant. The results also illustrate that GDP per capita, democratic accountability, religious tension, and FDI inflows in the previous period are important determinants of FDI in developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahvish Faran, 2014. "An Impact Assessment of Expected Future Turmoil Risk on FDI: A Panel Data Analysis of Developing Countries," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 19(2), pages 101-128, July-Dec.
    • Handle: RePEc:lje:journl:v:19:y:2014:i:2:p:101-128
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political risk; foreign direct investment; expected future turmoil risk.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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