IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/lde/journl/y2012i76p87-117.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk measurement under extreme events. An in-context methodological review

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge Uribe
  • Inés Ulloa

Abstract

This paper reviews the basic methodologies for the estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) that are currently in use in international stock and financial market regulation and portfolio management. The main shortcomings of these methodologies are exposed and the direct consequences of ignoring these limitations are analyzed, the latter highlighted by the recent global financial crisis of 2007-2009. In addition, methodologies for the estimation of expected tail losses, based on the Extreme Value Theory, are examined. Both kinds of measures are contrasted with the aim to create a ‘risk ranking’ of different stock markets around the world. The study explores the major Latin American markets and some in developed countries. The lessons widely highlighted in the academic literature related to the shortcomings of VaR when markets face extreme events are corroborated. The paper concludes by stressing the need for more robust measures focused on the tails of the distribution in the measurement of risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Uribe & Inés Ulloa, 2012. "Risk measurement under extreme events. An in-context methodological review," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 76, pages 87-117.
    • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2012:i:76:p:87-117
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/lecturasdeeconomia/issue/view/1203
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Value at risk; expected tail loss; extreme value theory; Latin American stock markets; extreme risks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2012:i:76:p:87-117. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Carlos Andrés Vasco Correa (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deantco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.