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Modeling the General and Task Environments of Agricultural Sector in European Union – 1960–2100

Author

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  • Ozgur Zan

    (Done Communication and Information Systems, Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul – Turkey)

  • M. Atilla Oner

    (Department of Business Administration, Yeditepe University, Istanbul – Turkey)

  • Nicole Herrmann

    (Department of Innovation Management, University of Applied Sciences Ludwigshfen am Rhein – Germany)

Abstract

In strategic management, environmental scanning is important for organizations to determine opportunities and threats during strategy formulation. A top-level manager should anticipate the changes in the environmental variables. In this study we applied literature-based modeling and extracted causality from scientific journals. Then based on this study we used System Dynamics modeling to develop two models: Agricultural Dynamics and initial Common Agricultural Policy of EU and run computer simulations. Simulation results of the Agricultural Model indicate that agricultural dynamics justify the three initial policies of the Common Agricultural Policy of EU. Simulation results of the Common Agricultural Policy of EU Model show that the effects of EU policies on EU are more important in the long run than the short-term effects of enlargement on the agricultural sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozgur Zan & M. Atilla Oner & Nicole Herrmann, 2016. "Modeling the General and Task Environments of Agricultural Sector in European Union – 1960–2100," The Journal of European Theoretical and Applied Studies, The Center for European Studies at Kirklareli University - Turkey, vol. 4(1), pages 15-48.
    • Handle: RePEc:kir:journl:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:15-48
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