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On the Long-Term or Short-Term Dependence in Stock Prices: Evidence from International Stock Markets

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  • Chow, K Victor
  • Pan, Ming-Shium
  • Sakano, Ryoichi

Abstract

This study examines the short- and long-term dependence in the United States and 21 international equity market indexes. Two heteroscedastic-robust testing methods, the modified rescaled range analysis and the rescaled variance ratio test, are employed to test for the existence of dependence. The evidence consistently reveals the absence of long-term dependence in these 22 stock returns indexes. The random walk hypothesis for most, but not all, stock returns indexes is not rejected. When the random walk hypothesis is rejected, the evidence supporting the rejection is weak and the stochastic dependence occurs mainly in short-horizon, rather than long-horizon holding period returns. Copyright 1996 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Chow, K Victor & Pan, Ming-Shium & Sakano, Ryoichi, 1996. "On the Long-Term or Short-Term Dependence in Stock Prices: Evidence from International Stock Markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 181-194, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:6:y:1996:i:2:p:181-94
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    Cited by:

    1. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis & Plastun, Alex, 2018. "Is market fear persistent? A long-memory analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 140-147.
    2. Mejra Festic & Alenka Kavkler & Silvo Dajcman, 2012. "Long memory in the Croatian and Hungarian stock market returns," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 115-139.
    3. Paul Eitelman & Justin Vitanza, 2008. "A non-random walk revisited: short- and long-term memory in asset prices," International Finance Discussion Papers 956, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Berneburg, Marian, 2007. "Systematic Mispricing in European Equity Prices?," IWH Discussion Papers 6/2007, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    5. Schadner, Wolfgang, 2020. "An idea of risk-neutral momentum and market fear," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    6. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Lai, Kon S., 1995. "A search for long memory in international stock market returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 597-615, August.
    7. Tan, Pei P. & Galagedera, Don U.A. & Maharaj, Elizabeth A., 2012. "A wavelet based investigation of long memory in stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(7), pages 2330-2341.
    8. Gomes, Luís M. P. & Soares, Vasco J. S. & Gama, Sílvio M. A. & Matos, José A. O., 2018. "Long-term memory in Euronext stock indexes returns: an econophysics approach," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 14(4), pages 862-881, August.
    9. Ouael EL JEBARI & Abdelati HAKMAOUI, 2017. "Modeling persistence of volatility in the Moroccan exchange market using a fractionally integrated EGARCH," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 388-399, December.
    10. Wolfgang Schadner, 2019. "Risk-Neutral Momentum and Market Fear," Working Papers on Finance 1915, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.

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