IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/rqfnac/v46y2016i2p291-333.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Post-IPO performance and its association with subscription cascades and issuers’ strategic-political importance

Author

Listed:
  • Paul McGuinness

Abstract

This study focuses on the strategic-political importance of firms undertaking IPO in China’s international Hong Kong market. This market setting is of particular interest given the unique mix of state-backed and privately-owned issuers drawn to it. I find that an issuer’s strategic-political importance is strongly and positively related to post-IPO returns. An issuer’s strategic-political importance is also negatively correlated with the variance of changes in its post-listing earnings and revenue. Overall, the present study suggests that state support correlates with enhanced post-IPO stock returns and more stable sales turnover and earnings. However, results show that state ownership does not necessarily translate into increased post-IPO revenue and earnings growth. The paper’s second major contribution relates to the identification of pronounced subscription “cascades” (Welch in J Financ 67(2):695–732, 1992 ) and how these correlate with post-IPO returns. Results suggest that insipid (overly exuberant) subscription demand presages strong (weak) post-listing returns. Consistent with “cascade” arguments (Welch 1992 ), return reversals occur without commensurate revenue or earnings change. Finally, and in terms of valuation uncertainty (Miller in J Financ 32(4):1151–1168, 1977 ), findings point to an inverse association between post-IPO stock returns and the magnitude of an issue’s prospectus-disclosed offer price range. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2016

Suggested Citation

  • Paul McGuinness, 2016. "Post-IPO performance and its association with subscription cascades and issuers’ strategic-political importance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 291-333, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:46:y:2016:i:2:p:291-333
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-014-0470-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11156-014-0470-4
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11156-014-0470-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Charlie X. Cai & Paul B. McGuinness & Qi Zhang, 2018. "Credit scores and the performance of newly-listed stocks: an exploration of the Chinese A-share market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 79-111, July.
    2. Paul B. McGuinness, 2018. "IPO Firm Performance and Its Link with Board Officer Gender, Family-Ties and Other Demographics," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 152(2), pages 499-521, October.
    3. McGuinness, Paul B., 2016. "Voluntary profit forecast disclosures, IPO pricing revisions and after-market earnings drift," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 70-83.
    4. Sabri Boubaker & Dimitrios Gounopoulos & Antonios Kallias & Konstantinos Kallias, 2017. "Management earnings forecasts and IPO performance: evidence of a regime change," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1083-1121, May.
    5. Leo Huang & Michael Chang, 2018. "Why do travel agencies choose to undergo IPOs in Taiwan?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(1), pages 79-91, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    IPOs; Hong Kong; Strategic-political importance; Buy-and-hold returns; Turnover; Net profit; Investor ‘cascades’; F00; G00-01; G10; G15; G18; G38;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:46:y:2016:i:2:p:291-333. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.