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The effect of repeat restructuring charges on analysts’ forecast revisions and accuracy

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  • Beixin Lin
  • Rong Yang

Abstract

The primary objective of this study is to examine the effect of prior restructuring charges on analyst forecast revisions and accuracy. We find evidence that analysts respond differently to first-time restructuring firms than to repeat restructuring firms. Analysts revise their forecasts of both one-year-ahead earnings and five-year long-term growth in earnings more negatively for first-time restructuring firms than for firms with prior charges. When we examine forecast errors in the year subsequent to the restructuring, we find that current charges complicate analysts’ earnings forecast task. We further find that the decline in analyst forecast accuracy is mitigated by prior charges within past two years. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, LLC 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Beixin Lin & Rong Yang, 2006. "The effect of repeat restructuring charges on analysts’ forecast revisions and accuracy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 267-283, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:27:y:2006:i:3:p:267-283
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-006-9431-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brickley, James A. & Van Drunen, Leonard D., 1990. "Internal corporate restructuring : An empirical analysis," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-3), pages 251-280, January.
    2. Elliott, JA & Hanna, JD, 1996. "Repeated accounting write-offs and the information content of earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34, pages 135-155.
    3. Poon, Percy S & Newbould, Gerald D & Durtschi, Cindy, 2001. "Market Reactions to Corporate Restructurings," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 269-290, May.
    4. Blackwell, David W. & Marr, M. Wayne & Spivey, Michael F., 1990. "Plant-closing decisions and the market value of the firm," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 277-288, August.
    5. Chaney, Paul K. & Hogan, Chris E. & Jeter, Debra C., 1999. "The effect of reporting restructuring charges on analysts' forecast revisions and errors," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 261-284, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mak, Chun Yu, 2017. "How do financial analysts interpret industrial firms' corporate refocusing announcements?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 493-511.
    2. Agapova, Anna & Madura, Jeff & Volkov, Nikanor, 2020. "Information leakage of ADRs Prior to company issued guidance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    3. Brooke Beyer & Binod Guragai & Eric T. Rapley, 2021. "Discontinued operations and analyst forecast accuracy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 595-627, August.
    4. Agapova, Anna & Madura, Jeff, 2016. "Market uncertainty and earnings guidance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 97-111.
    5. Brian Du, 2020. "Securitized banking and interest rate sensitivity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 851-876, April.
    6. Gallemore, John & Labro, Eva, 2015. "The importance of the internal information environment for tax avoidance," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 149-167.
    7. Beixin Lin & Rong Yang, 2012. "Does Regulation Fair Disclosure affect analysts’ forecast performance? The case of restructuring firms," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 495-517, May.
    8. Shanshan Pan & Michael Lacina & Haeyoung Shin, 2019. "Income Classification Shifting and Financial Analysts’ Forecasts," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(02), pages 1-48, June.
    9. Yang, Rong & Lin, Beixin, 2008. "How regulation FD influences analysts’ forecast attributes for restructuring firms?," Research in Accounting Regulation, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 269-271.
    10. Mary Hill & Peter Johnson & Kelvin Liu & Thomas Lopez, 2015. "Operational restructurings: where’s the beef?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 721-755, November.
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