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Expected earnings growth and portfolio performance

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  • Ronald Best
  • Charles Hodges
  • James Yoder

Abstract

We form portfolios based on forecasted growth rates in earnings and apply stochastic dominance tests. Low expected-growth rate portfolios dominate high expected-growth rate portfolios. This suggests that the superior return performance of value stocks is not due to omitted risk factors but is a consequence of investors making systematic errors in forming earnings expectations. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, LLC 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald Best & Charles Hodges & James Yoder, 2006. "Expected earnings growth and portfolio performance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 431-437, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:26:y:2006:i:4:p:431-437
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-006-7440-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
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    4. Basu, Sanjoy, 1983. "The relationship between earnings' yield, market value and return for NYSE common stocks : Further evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 129-156, June.
    5. Fong, Wai Mun & Wong, Wing Keung & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2005. "International momentum strategies: a stochastic dominance approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 89-109, February.
    6. Barber, Brad M & Lyon, John D, 1997. "Firm Size, Book-to-Market Ratio, and Security Returns: A Holdout Sample of Financial Firms," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 875-883, June.
    7. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 55-84, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gengnan Chiang, 2016. "Exploring the transitional behavior among value and growth stocks," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 543-563, October.
    2. Easterday, Kathryn E. & Sen, Pradyot K., 2016. "Is the January effect rational? Insights from the accounting valuation model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 168-185.
    3. Haim Shalit & Shlomo Yitzhaki, 2010. "How does beta explain stochastic dominance efficiency?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 431-444, November.

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