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Stagflationary Bias and the Interaction of Monetary Policy and Wages in a Unionized Economy

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  • Cubitt, Robin P

Abstract

The paper investigates the claim of Gylfason and Lindbeck (1994) that a stagflationary bias arises from the interaction between monetary policymaking and wage-setting if, among other things, the government and unions share a concern for inflation. It uses a game theoretic model of this interaction, in which the government plays an economy-wide union. Though simple, this nests several other models as special cases. In that corresponding to Gylfason and Lindbeck's model, the factors which they identify are shown to be sufficient for stagflationary bias, in a specified sense. However, for the union to care about inflation is not a necessary condition. The main result of the paper concerns the more general model. It establishes a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for stagflationary bias, as previously defined. These conditions do not include a shared concern for inflation. The paper comments briefly on the significance of this result for stagflation and economic modeling. Copyright 1997 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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  • Cubitt, Robin P, 1997. "Stagflationary Bias and the Interaction of Monetary Policy and Wages in a Unionized Economy," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 93(1-2), pages 165-178, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:93:y:1997:i:1-2:p:165-78
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    Cited by:

    1. Jerger, Jurgen, 2002. "Socially optimal monetary policy institutions," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 761-781, November.
    2. Berthold, Norbert & Gründler, Klaus, 2013. "The determinants of stagflation in a panel of countries," Discussion Paper Series 117 [rev.], Julius Maximilian University of Würzburg, Chair of Economic Order and Social Policy.
    3. Nicola Acocella & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, 2005. "Non-neutrality of economic policy: An application of the Tinbergen-Theil's approach to a strategic context," Working Papers in Public Economics 82, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    4. Berthold, Norbert & Gründler, Klaus, 2012. "Stagflation in the world economy: A revival?," Discussion Paper Series 117, Julius Maximilian University of Würzburg, Chair of Economic Order and Social Policy.
    5. Huiping Yuan & Stephen M. Miller & Langnan Chen, 2011. "The Optimality And Controllability Of Monetary Policy Through Delegation With Consistent Targets," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 58(1), pages 82-106, February.
    6. Acocella, Nicola & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni, 2004. "Non-neutrality of monetary policy in policy games," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 695-707, September.
    7. Acocella, Nicola & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Hibbs Jr., Douglas A., 2008. "Labor market regimes and the effects of monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 134-156, March.
    8. Huiping Yuan & Stephen M. Miller & Langnan Chen, 2011. "The Optimality And Controllability Of Monetary Policy Through Delegation With Consistent Targets," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 58(1), pages 82-106, February.

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