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Estimating International Migration Flows for Pacific Island Countries: A Research Brief

Author

Listed:
  • Qing Guan

    (Australian National University)

  • James Raymer

    (Australian National University)

  • Juliet Pietsch

    (Griffith University)

Abstract

International migration is an important source of population change and economic development for Pacific Island countries. Migration from the Pacific Island region contributes to labour recruitment in countries like Australia, New Zealand and the United States. However, there are substantial gaps in the understanding of overall migration patterns in this region, impeding the development of relevant policies. In the absence of good migration statistics, we propose and present an alternative approach to examining the levels of migration in the Pacific Island region using model-based estimates. Three sets of recently produced migration flow estimates are consulted to explore the immigration and emigration levels and key migration corridors in the Pacific Island region between 2000 and 2019. Where reported migration statistics are available, we evaluate the performance of model-based estimates and highlight if there are problems with the reported data. This research brief demonstrates the value of model-based estimates to inform migration in the Pacific Island region.

Suggested Citation

  • Qing Guan & James Raymer & Juliet Pietsch, 2022. "Estimating International Migration Flows for Pacific Island Countries: A Research Brief," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(5), pages 1917-1930, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:poprpr:v:41:y:2022:i:5:d:10.1007_s11113-022-09737-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11113-022-09737-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jonathan J. Azose & Adrian E. Raftery, 2019. "Estimation of emigration, return migration, and transit migration between all pairs of countries," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 116(1), pages 116-122, January.
    2. Chand, Satish & Clemens, Michael A. & Dempster, Helen, 2021. "A Pacific Skills Visa: Improving Opportunities for Skilled Migration throughout the Pacific Region," IZA Policy Papers 183, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Andrei Rogers & James Raymer & K. Bruce Newbold, 2003. "Reconciling and translating migration data collected over time intervals of differing widths," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 37(4), pages 581-601, December.
    4. Guy Abel, 2013. "Estimating global migration flow tables using place of birth data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(18), pages 505-546.
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