IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jgeosy/v5y2003i2p185-206.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measuring the goodness-of-fit of decision-tree models of discrete and continuous activity-travel choice: methods and empirical illustration

Author

Listed:
  • Theo Arentze
  • Harry Timmermans

Abstract

The use of decision tree models for predicting activity-travel choice is receiving increasing attention, but raises two related problems that are considered in this study. First, commonly used deterministic action-assignment rules should be replaced by probabilistic action-assignment rules. We develop such probabilistic rules for both discrete and continuous choice problems. Second, common goodness-of-fit measures such as the hit-ratio need to be replaced by likelihood measures. In this paper, we develop and empirically illustrate the interrelated methods and measures. The findings suggest that the new measures add information to existing statistics for discrete as well as the continuous choice. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2003

Suggested Citation

  • Theo Arentze & Harry Timmermans, 2003. "Measuring the goodness-of-fit of decision-tree models of discrete and continuous activity-travel choice: methods and empirical illustration," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 185-206, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jgeosy:v:5:y:2003:i:2:p:185-206
    DOI: 10.1007/s10109-003-0097-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10109-003-0097-9
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10109-003-0097-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Auld, Joshua & Mohammadian, Abolfazl (Kouros) & Doherty, Sean T., 2009. "Modeling activity conflict resolution strategies using scheduling process data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 386-400, May.
    2. Arentze, Theo & Timmermans, Harry, 2007. "Parametric action decision trees: Incorporating continuous attribute variables into rule-based models of discrete choice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(7), pages 772-783, August.
    3. Mahmoud Javanmardi & Mehran Fasihozaman Langerudi & Ramin Shabanpour & Abolfazl Mohammadian, 2016. "An optimization approach to resolve activity scheduling conflicts in ADAPTS activity-based model," Transportation, Springer, vol. 43(6), pages 1023-1039, November.
    4. Elke A L M G Moons & Geert P M Wets & Marc Aerts & Theo A Arentze & Harry J P Timmermans, 2005. "The Impact of Simplification in a Sequential Rule-Based Model of Activity-Scheduling Behavior," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 37(3), pages 551-568, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Activity-travel choice; decision tree induction; action assignment; goodness of fit; likelihood measures; C00;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jgeosy:v:5:y:2003:i:2:p:185-206. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.