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Do global financial crises validate assertions of fractal market hypothesis?

Author

Listed:
  • Arif Billah Dar

    (Institute of Management Technology Ghaziabad)

  • Niyati Bhanja

    (University of Petroleum and Energy Studies Dehradun)

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari

    (A Constituent of IFHE (Deemed to Be) University)

Abstract

The frequent occurrence of crises in recent decades has triggered a debate between the proponents of Efficient market hypothesis and Fractal market hypothesis. While, the proponents of Efficient market hypothesis view crises as non-existent and highly improbable, the advocates of Fractal market hypothesis view crises as the dominance of certain investment horizons. We test whether the assertion of Fractal Market hypothesis regarding the dominance of certain frequencies during financial crises hold for the global stock markets. Following Kristoufek (Sci Rep 3:2857, 2013) the wavelet power spectra based on continuous wavelet framework are used to test the said hypothesis. It is shown that stock markets around the globe indicate the dominance of higher frequencies during the crises periods, hence, validate the assertions of Fractal market hypothesis. The results drawn are robust to the use of different countries as well as different crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Arif Billah Dar & Niyati Bhanja & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Do global financial crises validate assertions of fractal market hypothesis?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 153-165, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:14:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10368-015-0332-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-015-0332-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cristina Cella & Andrew Ellul & Mariassunta Giannetti, 2013. "Investors' Horizons and the Amplification of Market Shocks," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(7), pages 1607-1648.
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    Cited by:

    1. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Bouri, Elie & Peng, Zhe & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during COVID19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    2. Svetlozar T. Rachev & Stoyan V. Stoyanov & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2017. "Financial Markets With No Riskless (Safe) Asset," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(08), pages 1-24, December.
    3. Emrah BALKAN & Umut UYAR, 2022. "The Fractal Structure of CDS Spreads: Evidence from the OECD Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 106-121, April.
    4. Mishelle Doorasamy & Prince Kwasi Sarpong, 2018. "Fractal Market Hypothesis and Markov Regime Switching Model: A Possible Synthesis and Integration," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 93-100.
    5. Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Paul, Manas, 2019. "Do gold mining stocks behave like gold or equities? Evidence from the UK and the US," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 369-384.
    6. Román Alejandro Mendoza Urdiales & Andrés García-Medina & José Antonio Nuñez Mora, 2021. "Measuring information flux between social media and stock prices with Transfer Entropy," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-19, September.
    7. Arif Billah Dar & Niyati Bhanja, 2018. "Is China a safe haven for Asian Tigers?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 113-133, May.

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