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From Hero to Zero? The Role of the Euro in the Current Crisis: Theory and some Empirical Evidence

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  • Georgios Karras

Abstract

A simple theoretical model of monetary unification and data from 11 euro members are used to investigate the common currency’s role in the macroeconomic performance of these countries. Euro membership has been typically accompanied by lower (or steady) inflation, but also by higher business-cycle volatility. In addition, synchronization of cyclical output was substantially affected by the common currency only in Greece (where it declined considerably) and Finland and Ireland (where it increased). Consistent with the theoretical predictions, the empirical evidence shows a strong negative relationship between cyclical synchronizations and volatilities, which however is not much stronger under the euro than it was during the Maastricht period. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 2011

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  • Georgios Karras, 2011. "From Hero to Zero? The Role of the Euro in the Current Crisis: Theory and some Empirical Evidence," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 17(3), pages 300-314, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:iaecre:v:17:y:2011:i:3:p:300-314:10.1007/s11294-011-9304-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11294-011-9304-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Scott W. Hegerty, 2020. "Structural breaks and regional inflation convergence for five new Euro members," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 219-239, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro; Monetary integration; E42; F36; F42;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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