IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/enreec/v87y2024i10d10.1007_s10640-024-00896-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exogenous Hazard Rates and Precautionary Behaviour in Resource Economic Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Eric Nævdal

    (Western Norway University of Applied Sciences)

Abstract

Economic analysis of catastrophic risk is a topic that unfortunately has become more relevant since the 1960s. An important question when a vital resource stock is at risk is whether one should invest more in the stock to create a buffer against a catastrophe or allow the stock to decrease as risk makes its future value decrease. The present paper analyses exogenous catastrophic risk where the probability of catastrophe cannot be controlled. Conditions for when precautionary behaviour is optimal are given with general functional forms. The paper analyses both problems with a single catastrophe and problems with an infinite sequence of catastrophes. It is shown that most of the results pertaining to a single catastrophe carry over to the case with an infinite number of catastrophes.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Nævdal, 2024. "Exogenous Hazard Rates and Precautionary Behaviour in Resource Economic Dynamics," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(10), pages 2543-2569, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:enreec:v:87:y:2024:i:10:d:10.1007_s10640-024-00896-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10640-024-00896-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10640-024-00896-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10640-024-00896-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ton S. van den Bremer & Frederick van der Ploeg, 2021. "The Risk-Adjusted Carbon Price," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(9), pages 2782-2810, September.
    2. Ren, Bijie & Polasky, Stephen, 2014. "The optimal management of renewable resources under the risk of potential regime shift," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 195-212.
    3. Havranek, Tomas & Horvath, Roman & Irsova, Zuzana & Rusnak, Marek, 2015. "Cross-country heterogeneity in intertemporal substitution," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 100-118.
    4. Polasky, Stephen & de Zeeuw, Aart & Wagener, Florian, 2011. "Optimal management with potential regime shifts," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 229-240, September.
    5. W J Wouter Botzen & Olivier Deschenes & Mark Sanders, 2019. "The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters: A Review of Models and Empirical Studies," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 13(2), pages 167-188.
    6. Nkuiya, Bruno & Diekert, Florian, 2023. "Stochastic growth and regime shift risk in renewable resource management," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    7. Kenneth L. Judd, 1998. "Numerical Methods in Economics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262100711, December.
    8. Partha Dasgupta, 2008. "Discounting climate change," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 141-169, December.
    9. Nævdal, Eric, 2016. "Catastrophes and ex post shadow prices—How the value of the last fish in a lake is infinity and why we should not care (much)," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(PB), pages 153-160.
    10. Clark, Colin W. & Munro, Gordon R., 1975. "The economics of fishing and modern capital theory: A simplified approach," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 92-106, December.
    11. Clarke, Harry R. & Reed, William J., 1994. "Consumption/pollution tradeoffs in an environment vulnerable to pollution-related catastrophic collapse," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 991-1010, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Miller, Steve & Nkuiya, Bruno, 2016. "Coalition formation in fisheries with potential regime shift," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 189-207.
    2. Nævdal, Eric, 2016. "Catastrophes and ex post shadow prices—How the value of the last fish in a lake is infinity and why we should not care (much)," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(PB), pages 153-160.
    3. Maria Arvaniti & Chandra K. Krishnamurthy & Anne-Sophie Crépin, 2019. "Time-consistent resource management with regime shifts," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 19/329, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    4. Gustav Engström & Johan Gars, 2016. "Climatic Tipping Points and Optimal Fossil-Fuel Use," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 65(3), pages 541-571, November.
    5. Mavi, Can Askan, 2020. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 29-46.
    6. Lee H. Endress & James A. Roumasset & Christopher A. Wada, 2020. "Do Natural Disasters Make Sustainable Growth Impossible?," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 319-345, July.
    7. Sareh Vosooghi, 2019. "Panic-Based Overfishing in Transboundary Fisheries," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 73(4), pages 1287-1313, August.
    8. Can Askan Mavi, 2019. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," CEE-M Working Papers halshs-02141789, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    9. Jules Selles, 2018. "Fisheries management: what uncertainties matter?," Working Papers hal-01824238, HAL.
    10. Michele Baggio, 2016. "Optimal Fishery Management with Regime Shifts: An Assessment of Harvesting Strategies," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 64(3), pages 465-492, July.
    11. Nkuiya, Bruno & Costello, Christopher, 2016. "Pollution control under a possible future shift in environmental preferences," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(PB), pages 193-205.
    12. Nævdal, Eric, 2015. "Catastrophes and Expected Marginal Utility – How The Value Of The Last Fish In A Lake Is Infinity And Why We Shouldn't Care (Much)," Memorandum 08/2015, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
    13. Arvaniti, Maria & Krishnamurthy, Chandra Kiran B. & Crépin, Anne-Sophie, 2023. "Time-consistent renewable resource management with present bias and regime shifts," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 479-495.
    14. Neha Deopa & Daniele Rinaldo, 2024. "Quickest Detection of Ecological Regimes for Natural Resource Management," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(5), pages 1327-1366, May.
    15. Nkuiya, Bruno & Diekert, Florian, 2023. "Stochastic growth and regime shift risk in renewable resource management," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    16. Can Askan Mavi, 2019. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Working Papers halshs-02141789, HAL.
    17. Can Askan Mavi, 2020. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Post-Print hal-02880592, HAL.
    18. Chuan-Zhong Li & Sebastian Villasante & Xueqin Zhu, 2016. "Regime Shifts and Resilience in Fisheries Management: A Case Study of the Argentinean Hake fishery," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 65(3), pages 623-637, November.
    19. Can Askan Mavi & Nicolas Quérou, 2020. "Common pool resource management and risk perceptions," DEM Discussion Paper Series 20-25, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    20. Sakamoto, Hiroaki, 2014. "Dynamic resource management under the risk of regime shifts," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 1-19.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Catastrophic risk; Exogenous hazard rate; Precautionary behaviour; Dynamic optimization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:enreec:v:87:y:2024:i:10:d:10.1007_s10640-024-00896-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.