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Forest investment in China: an efficient way to climate and economic security?

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaotian Dong

    (Qingdao University)

  • Xiaoqing Wong

    (Wuchang University of Technology
    University of Macau)

  • Meng Qin

    (Qingdao University
    West University of Timisoara)

  • Oana-Ramona Lobont

    (West University of Timisoara)

  • Muhammad Umar

    (Lebanese American University)

Abstract

Utilising the TVP-VAR-SV approach, this article aims to reveal the dynamically evolving relationships among forest investment (FI), climate uncertainty (CU) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). The results indicate that FI benefits CU in the early stages, whereas this positive trend reverses over the medium and long terms. This observation suggests that the positive effects of forestry investment on climate security are delayed. FI consistently negatively influences EPU, highlighting the role of forestry investment in enhancing economic security. Notably, the impact of FI on EPU is more substantial than its impact on CU, primarily due to the more direct and correlated nature of investment in the economy. Conversely, CU has mixed effects on FI, showing climate insecurity can either boost or hinder forestry investment. EPU, however, hinders FI, implying economic insecurity blocks forestry investment. These findings suggest valuable suggestions to ensure China’s climate and economic security through forestry investments.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaotian Dong & Xiaoqing Wong & Meng Qin & Oana-Ramona Lobont & Muhammad Umar, 2025. "Forest investment in China: an efficient way to climate and economic security?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 1-22, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:58:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10644-024-09853-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09853-0
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forest investment; Climate security; Economic security; Time-varying; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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