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A model of unbalanced sectorial growth with application to transition economies

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  • Dmytro Kylymnyuk
  • Lilia Maliar
  • Serguei Maliar

Abstract

This paper studies the implications of a dynamic general equilibrium model with three production sectors, which are agriculture, industry and services. Due to the assumption of increasing returns in industry and services, our model has multiple equilibria. Two equilibria are stable: one, in which a country produces only agricultural goods and converges to a steady state, and the other, in which a country operates all three sectors and has positive unbalanced long-run growth by contracting agriculture and expanding industry and services. These predictions agree well with the real-world development experiences of rich and poor countries. In the context of our model, we also investigate the evolution of the sectorial composition in the transition countries and find that such countries move to the rich rather than to the poor world.
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Suggested Citation

  • Dmytro Kylymnyuk & Lilia Maliar & Serguei Maliar, 2007. "A model of unbalanced sectorial growth with application to transition economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 40(4), pages 309-325, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:40:y:2007:i:4:p:309-325
    DOI: 10.1007/s10644-008-9034-8
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    1. Rubini, Loris & Moro, Alessio, 2019. "Stochastic Structural Change," MPRA Paper 96144, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth model; Increasing returns to scale; Agriculture; Industry; Services; Multiple equilibria; Transition economies; F10; F12; O13; O30; O41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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