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Time Varying Correlation Between Islamic Equity and Commodity Returns: Implications for Portfolio Diversification

Author

Listed:
  • Aftab Parvez Khan
  • Sarkar Humayun Kabir
  • Omar K M R Bashar
  • A. Mansur M. Masih

    (Taylor’s University, Malaysia
    Swinburne University of Technology, Australia
    The Global University of Islamic Finance (INCEIF), Malaysia)

Abstract

This paper aims at investigating the time varying relationship between Islamic equity and commodity returns in order to examine how combination of Islamic equities and commodities contribute to the benefits of portfolio investors and managers. In order to investigate this relationship, we employed multivariate GARCH method on return series of five different commodity groups (energy, precious metals, agricultural, non-ferrous metals and softs group), Dow Jones spot commodity index as a proxy of an aggregate commodity market and Dow Jones Islamic index over the period January 3, 2001 - March 28, 2013. Our findings show that correlations between commodity and Islamic stock markets’ returns change in different time periods and these two markets moved very closely during 2008 financial crisis in particular. Besides, volatility of returns in both markets reached at their peaks during the 2008 crisis period. We also show that despite sharing some common features, commodities cannot be considered as a homogeneous asset class: a speculation phenomenon is for instance, highlighted for energy sector comprising oil, while the safe-haven role of gold is evidenced, which constitutes a part of precious metal sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Aftab Parvez Khan & Sarkar Humayun Kabir & Omar K M R Bashar & A. Mansur M. Masih, 2015. "Time Varying Correlation Between Islamic Equity and Commodity Returns: Implications for Portfolio Diversification," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(5), pages 115-128, Special I.
    • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.49:year:2015:issue5:pp:115-128
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Khan, Muhammad Kamran & Ashraf, Muhammad Sajjad & Sharif, Arshian & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2022. "How the price dynamics of energy resources and precious metals interact with conventional and Islamic Stocks: Fresh insight from dynamic ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Mongi Arfaoui & Bechir Raggad, 2023. "Do Dow Jones Islamic equity indices undergo speculative pressure? New insights from a nonlinear and asymmetric analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1582-1601, April.
    3. Walid Chkili, 2022. "The links between gold, oil prices and Islamic stock markets in a regime switching environment," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 169-186, March.
    4. Haddad, Hedi Ben & Mezghani, Imed & Al Dohaiman, Mohammed, 2020. "Common shocks, common transmission mechanisms and time-varying connectedness among Dow Jones Islamic stock market indices and global risk factors," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    5. Fabian Moodley & Sune Ferreira-Schenk & Kago Matlhaku, 2024. "Time–Frequency Co-Movement of South African Asset Markets: Evidence from an MGARCH-ADCC Wavelet Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-26, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Islamic Capital Market; Commodity Market; Financial Crisis; Multivariate GARCH Dynamic Conditional Correlations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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