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Heterogeneous panel causality between exports and growth in Comesa countries

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  • Arcade Ndoricimpa

    (University of Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania)

Abstract

This study examines the causal links between exports and economic growth in COMESA countries so as to assess Export-led Growth and Growth-driven Export hypotheses. The study applies Granger causality tests in heterogeneous panels recently developed by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012). The results suggest that Export-led Growth hypothesis is only evident in 2 out of 17 COMESA countries and likewise Growth-driven Export hypothesis is also evident in 2 out of 17 COMESA countries. The findings confirm the view that export-led growth hypothesis is not necessarily supported in developing countries whose exports are mainly primary commodities. The study recommends export diversification for COMESA countries if they are to take advantage of their participation in international trade and reap the growth gains from exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Arcade Ndoricimpa, 2014. "Heterogeneous panel causality between exports and growth in Comesa countries," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 48(4), pages 349-361, October-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.48:year:2014:issue4:pp:349-361
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. . OLABISI, Olabode E & LAU, Evan, 2018. "Causality Testing between Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Fresh Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 71(4), pages 437-464.
    2. Arcade Ndoricimpa, 2017. "Threshold Effects of Debt on Economic Growth in Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(3), pages 471-484, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COMESA; Export-led Growth hypothesis; Growth-driven export hypothesis; Granger causality in Heterogeneous Panels;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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