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Modelling Human Behaviours in Disasters from Interviews: Application to Melbourne Bushfires

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Abstract

This paper describes a model for raising the decision-makers' awareness of the real (irrational and subjective) behaviours of the population in crisis situations. We analyse residents' statements and police hearings gathered after Victoria Black Saturday bushfires in 2009 to deduce a model of human behaviour based on the distinction between objective (capabilities, danger) and subjective (confidence, risk aversion) attributes, and on individual motivations. We evaluate it against observed behaviour archetypes and statistics, and show its explicative value.

Suggested Citation

  • Carole Adam & Benoit Gaudou, 2017. "Modelling Human Behaviours in Disasters from Interviews: Application to Melbourne Bushfires," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 20(3), pages 1-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:jas:jasssj:2016-191-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Tanatorn Tanantong & Monchai Parnkow, 2022. "A Survey of Automatic Text Classification Based on Thai Social Media Data," International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science (IJKSS), IGI Global, vol. 13(1), pages 1-25, January.
    2. Hugh D. Walpole & Robyn S. Wilson & Sarah M. McCaffrey, 2020. "If you love it, let it go: the role of home attachment in wildfire evacuation decisions," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 29-40, March.
    3. Annetta Burger & Talha Oz & William G. Kennedy & Andrew T. Crooks, 2019. "Computational Social Science of Disasters: Opportunities and Challenges," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-31, April.
    4. Elena Cantatore & Dario Esposito & Alberico Sonnessa, 2023. "Mapping the Multi-Vulnerabilities of Outdoor Places to Enhance the Resilience of Historic Urban Districts: The Case of the Apulian Region Exposed to Slow and Rapid-Onset Disasters," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-28, September.

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