IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ire/issued/v26n012023p73-93.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of House Price Changes on Durable and Non-Durable Consumption in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Sujata Saha

    (Wabash College)

Abstract

This paper examines the symmetric and asymmetric effects of house price changes and a few other macroeconomic variables on durable and non-durable consumption separately. The study considers the nonlinear panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach (Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation (Pesaran, 1997; Pesaran et al., 1999)) for cointegration and error-correction modeling, and uses annual data from fifty states of the U.S. The results show that changes in house prices have asymmetric effects on both durable and non-durable consumption in the long run. To dig deeper into the relationship between house price and consumption, I divide the fifty U.S. states into three categories: high-, middle- and low-income states. This helps to examine how the responsiveness of durable and non-durable consumption varies across these three categories. The findings show that the low-income states are affected more by changes in house prices than that of the high- and middle-income states.

Suggested Citation

  • Sujata Saha, 2023. "Impact of House Price Changes on Durable and Non-Durable Consumption in the United States," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 26(1), pages 73-93.
    • Handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:26:n:01:2023:p:73-93
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.gssinst.org/irer/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/v26-no1-3_-House-Price-and-Consumption.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Waxman, Andrew & Liang, Yuanning & Li, Shanjun & Barwick, Panle Jia & Zhao, Meng, 2020. "Tightening belts to buy a home: Consumption responses to rising housing prices in urban China," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    2. repec:eme:ijhma0:ijhma-11-2012-0056 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Calomiris, Charles W. & Longhofer, Stanley D. & Miles, William, 2013. "The Housing Wealth Effect: The Crucial Roles of Demographics, Wealth Distribution and Wealth Shares," Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 2(1), pages 049-099, July.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Funke, Michael & Paetz, Michael, 2013. "Housing prices and the business cycle: An empirical application to Hong Kong," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 62-76.
    6. Sundaresan, Suresh M, 1989. "Intertemporally Dependent Preferences and the Volatility of Consumption and Wealth," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 2(1), pages 73-89.
    7. Zekai He & Jingjing Ye & Xiuzhen Shi, 2020. "Housing wealth and household consumption in urban China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(8), pages 1714-1732, June.
    8. Sujata Saha, 2022. "Asymmetric Impact of Oil Price Changes on Stock Prices: Evidence from Country and Sectoral Level Data," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(2), pages 237-282, April.
    9. Kaplan, Greg & Mitman, Kurt & Violante, Giovanni L., 2020. "Non-durable consumption and housing net worth in the Great Recession: Evidence from easily accessible data," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    10. Dong Cheng, 2021. "Housing boom and non-housing consumption: evidence from urban households in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3271-3313, December.
    11. Mian, A. & Sufi, A., 2016. "Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 255-296, Elsevier.
    12. Wei-Shong Lin & Jen-Chun Tou & Shu-Yi Lin & Ming-Yih Yeh, 2014. "Effects of socioeconomic factors on regional housing prices in the USA," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(1), pages 30-41, February.
    13. Aditya Aladangady, 2017. "Housing Wealth and Consumption: Evidence from Geographically-Linked Microdata," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(11), pages 3415-3446, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dong Cheng, 2021. "Housing boom and non-housing consumption: evidence from urban households in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3271-3313, December.
    2. Xiaoqin Sun & Yuhai Su & Honglei Liu & Chengyou Li, 2022. "The Impact of House Price on Urban Household Consumption: Micro Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-20, October.
    3. Li, Cheng & Zhang, Ying, 2021. "How does housing wealth affect household consumption? Evidence from macro-data with special implications for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Huazhu Zheng & Jiao Qian & Guihuan Liu & Yongjiao Wu & Claudio O. Delang & Hongming He, 2023. "Housing prices and household consumption: a threshold effect model analysis in central and western China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    5. Xiaokuai Shao & Yujin Cao & Yangchuan Teng & Jidong Chen & Liutang Gong, 2022. "The Consumption‐Stimulating Effect of Public Rental Housing in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(1), pages 106-135, January.
    6. Leung, Charles Ka Yui & Ng, Joe Cho Yiu, 2018. "Macro Aspects of Housing," MPRA Paper 93512, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Funke, Michael & Kirkby, Robert & Mihaylovski, Petar, 2018. "House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 152-171.
    8. Felix Chopra & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence from a Field Experiment," CEBI working paper series 23-03, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    9. Dimitrios Gounopoulos & Kyriaki Kosmidou & Dimitrios Kousenidis & Victoria Patsika, 2019. "The investigation of the dynamic linkages between real estate market and stock market in Greece," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(7), pages 647-669, May.
    10. Adam M Guren & Alisdair McKay & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2021. "Housing Wealth Effects: The Long View," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(2), pages 669-707.
    11. Qian, Wei, 2023. "House price expectations and household consumption," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    12. Shaar, Karam, 2019. "Essays on modern economic issues in international trade, exchange rates and housing," Working Paper Series 8039, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    13. Carlos Garriga & Aaron Hedlund, 2020. "Mortgage Debt, Consumption, and Illiquid Housing Markets in the Great Recession," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(6), pages 1603-1634, June.
    14. Kartik B. Athreya & Ryan Mather & Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Household Financial Distress and the Burden of ‘Aggregate’ Shocks," Research Working Paper RWP 20-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    15. Kessel, Dany & Tyrefors, Björn & Vestman, Roine, 2018. "The Housing Wealth Effect: Quasi-Experimental Evidence," Working Paper Series 361, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    16. Stefani, Alessia De, 2020. "Debt, inequality and house prices: Explaining the dynamics of household borrowing prior to the great recession," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    17. Li, Yu & Liu, Kai & Lu, Xiaoying & Wang, Ben Zhe & Zhou, Xuan, 2022. "Welfare housing and household consumption in urban China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 326-334.
    18. Hanming Fang & Long Wang & Yang Yang, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Online Consumer Behavior:Evidence from Xiong'an New Area in China," PIER Working Paper Archive 22-021, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    19. Kontana Dimitra & Fountas Stilianos, 2022. "Consumption, personal income, financial wealth, housing wealth, and long-term interest rates: a panel cointegration approach for 50 US states," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 417-435, June.
    20. S. Boragan Aruoba & Ronel Elul & Sebnem Kalemli Ozcan, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints," Working Papers 22-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nonlinear ARDL; Asymmetry; House Prices; Consumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:26:n:01:2023:p:73-93. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: IRER Graduate Assistant/Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.gssinst.org/gssinst/index.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.