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Application of Simulation to Assessment of Component Changes on Rear End Highway Accidents

Author

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  • William L. Carlson

    (Highway Safety Research Institute, The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan)

Abstract

This paper illustrates the simulation method of evaluating the effect of system component changes on highway crash reduction. The evaluation procedure presented uses operating characteristics of a component as input, and compares the performance of alternative components in emergency traffic conflict situations. It is shown that Monte Carlo simulation of the model may be an efficient technique for comparing component alternatives. The examples presented involve (1) the emergency braking capabilities of two populations of vehicles in emergency car-following situations, and (2) two different rear lighting systems.

Suggested Citation

  • William L. Carlson, 1972. "Application of Simulation to Assessment of Component Changes on Rear End Highway Accidents," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 6(1), pages 1-14, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ortrsc:v:6:y:1972:i:1:p:1-14
    DOI: 10.1287/trsc.6.1.1
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    Cited by:

    1. D'Souza, Kelwyn, 2012. "An Analysis of Transit Bus Driver Distraction Using Multinomial Logistic Regression Models," 53rd Annual Transportation Research Forum, Tampa, Florida, March 15-17, 2012 207075, Transportation Research Forum.

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