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Unified Moment-Based Modeling of Integrated Stochastic Processes

Author

Listed:
  • Ioannis Kyriakou

    (Faculty of Actuarial Science & Insurance, Bayes Business School (formerly Cass), City, University of London, London EC1Y 8TZ, United Kingdom)

  • Riccardo Brignone

    (Department of Quantitative Finance, Faculty of Economics and Behavioural Science, University of Freiburg, 79098 Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany)

  • Gianluca Fusai

    (Dipartimento di Studi per l’Economia e l’Impresa, Università del Piemonte Orientale, 28100 Novara, Italy; Faculty of Finance, Bayes Business School (formerly Cass), City, University of London, London EC1Y 8TZ, United Kingdom)

Abstract

In this paper, we present a new method for simulating integrals of stochastic processes. We focus on the nontrivial case of time integrals, conditional on the state variable levels at the endpoints of a time interval through a moment-based probability distribution construction. We present different classes of models with important uses in finance, medicine, epidemiology, climatology, bioeconomics, and physics. The method is generally applicable in well-posed moment problem settings. We study its convergence, point out its advantages through a series of numerical experiments, and compare its performance against existing schemes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ioannis Kyriakou & Riccardo Brignone & Gianluca Fusai, 2024. "Unified Moment-Based Modeling of Integrated Stochastic Processes," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 72(4), pages 1630-1653, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:72:y:2024:i:4:p:1630-1653
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2422
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