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Bombing Problems---A Statistical Approach

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  • Andre G. Laurent

    (Department of Statistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan)

Abstract

Bombing problems are studied from the viewpoint of statistical inference and from the viewpoints of the bomber and its opponent. The probability of a hit inside a circle centered at the target is given. A method is proposed to obtain the “best” estimate of the probability of a hit in a given area, with a known or unknown target, on the basis of the information given by the points of impact during a flight. The method is applied to the cases of a rectangle and of a circle centered at the (known) target. Methods of approximation for any area are given. The problem of “dangerous” and “safe” regions is discussed. A method to obtain “distribution free” safe regions is proposed and conditions to obtain “safe” regions with a given confidence level are stated. Two examples of “safe confidence regions” are given.

Suggested Citation

  • Andre G. Laurent, 1957. "Bombing Problems---A Statistical Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 5(1), pages 75-89, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:5:y:1957:i:1:p:75-89
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.5.1.75
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    Cited by:

    1. M. Evans & Z. Govindarajulu & J. Barthoulot, 1987. "Estimates of circular error probabilities," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(1), pages 87-100, February.

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