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The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: A Test of Some Recent Studies

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  • Arnold Barnett

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts)

Abstract

Three recent regression-based statistical studies on the deterrent effect of capital punishment are examined. Evidence is presented that their underlying mathematical models are subject to large systematic error of unknown cause and that, in consequence, one cannot have strong confidence in their conclusions. In addition these models are recalibrated under a modification of their assumptions about “random error” that is implied by our analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnold Barnett, 1981. "The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: A Test of Some Recent Studies," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 29(2), pages 346-370, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:29:y:1981:i:2:p:346-370
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.29.2.346
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    Cited by:

    1. Gerritzen, Berit & Kirchgässner, Gebhard, 2013. "Facts or Ideology: What Determines the Results of Econometric Estimates of the Deterrence Effect of Death Penalty? A Meta-Analysis," Economics Working Paper Series 1303, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
    2. Berit C. Gerritzen & Gebhard Kirchgässner, 2013. "Facts or Ideology: What Determines the Results of Econometric Estimates of the Deterrence Effect of Death Penalty?," CREMA Working Paper Series 2013-04, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
    3. Olson, David E & Maltz, Michael D, 2001. "Right-to-Carry Concealed Weapon Laws and Homicide in Large U.S. Counties: The Effect on Weapon Types, Victim Characteristics, and Victim-Offender Relationships," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(2), pages 747-770, October.
    4. Pina-Sánchez, Jose & Buil-Gil, David & brunton-smith, ian & Cernat, Alexandru, 2021. "The impact of measurement error in models using police recorded crime rates," SocArXiv ydf4b, Center for Open Science.

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