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The Stochastic Shortest Route Problem

Author

Listed:
  • C. Elliott Sigal

    (Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana)

  • A. Alan B. Pritsker

    (Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana)

  • James J. Solberg

    (Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana)

Abstract

The problem addressed in this paper is the selection of the shortest path through a directed, acyclic network where the arc lengths are independent random variables. This problem has received little attention although the deterministic version of the problem has been studied extensively. The concept of a path optimality index is introduced as a performance measure for selecting a path of a stochastic network. A path optimality index is defined as the probability a given path is shorter than all other network paths. This paper presents an analytic derivation of path optimality indices for directed, acyclic networks. A new network concept, Uniformly Directed Cutsets (UDCs), is introduced. UDCs are shown to be important to the efficient implementation of the prescribed analytic procedure. There are strong indications that stochastic shortest route analysis has numerous applications in operations research and management science. Potential application areas include, equipment replacement analysis, reliability modeling, maximal flow problems, stochastic dynamic programming problems, and PERT-type network analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • C. Elliott Sigal & A. Alan B. Pritsker & James J. Solberg, 1980. "The Stochastic Shortest Route Problem," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 28(5), pages 1122-1129, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:28:y:1980:i:5:p:1122-1129
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.28.5.1122
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Jisun & Joung, Seulgi & Lee, Kyungsik, 2022. "A fully polynomial time approximation scheme for the probability maximizing shortest path problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(1), pages 35-45.
    2. Elías Escobar-Gómez & J.L. Camas-Anzueto & Sabino Velázquez-Trujillo & Héctor Hernández-de-León & Rubén Grajales-Coutiño & Eduardo Chandomí-Castellanos & Héctor Guerra-Crespo, 2019. "A Linear Programming Model with Fuzzy Arc for Route Optimization in the Urban Road Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-18, November.
    3. Athanassios N. Avramidis & James R. Wilson, 1998. "Correlation-Induction Techniques for Estimating Quantiles in Simulation Experiments," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(4), pages 574-591, August.
    4. David Corredor-Montenegro & Nicolás Cabrera & Raha Akhavan-Tabatabaei & Andrés L. Medaglia, 2021. "On the shortest $$\alpha$$ α -reliable path problem," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 29(1), pages 287-318, April.
    5. Elise D. Miller-Hooks & Hani S. Mahmassani, 2000. "Least Expected Time Paths in Stochastic, Time-Varying Transportation Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 198-215, May.
    6. Zhouchun Huang & Qipeng P. Zheng & Eduardo L. Pasiliao & Daniel Simmons, 2017. "Exact algorithms on reliable routing problems under uncertain topology using aggregation techniques for exponentially many scenarios," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 249(1), pages 141-162, February.
    7. Marie Schmidt & Leo Kroon & Anita Schöbel & Paul Bouman, 2017. "The Travelers Route Choice Problem Under Uncertainty: Dominance Relations Between Strategies," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 184-199, February.
    8. Jian Li & Amol Deshpande, 2019. "Maximizing Expected Utility for Stochastic Combinatorial Optimization Problems," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 354-375, February.
    9. Marie Schmidt & Leo Kroon & Anita Schöbel & Paul Bouman, 2017. "The Travelers Route Choice Problem Under Uncertainty: Dominance Relations Between Strategies," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 184-199, February.
    10. Daniel Reich & Leo Lopes, 2011. "Preprocessing Stochastic Shortest-Path Problems with Application to PERT Activity Networks," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 23(3), pages 460-469, August.
    11. Yanyan Wang & Vicki M. Bier & Baiqing Sun, 2019. "Measuring and Achieving Equity in Multiperiod Emergency Material Allocation," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(11), pages 2408-2426, November.
    12. Nie, Yu (Marco) & Wu, Xing, 2009. "Shortest path problem considering on-time arrival probability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 597-613, July.

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