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Clinical Decision Analysis

Author

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  • Baruch Fischhoff

    (Decision Research, A Branch of Perceptronics, Eugene, Oregon)

Abstract

An analogy is drawn between decision analysis and the somewhat older profession of psychotherapy. Both offer a variety of techniques designed to help people function in a difficult and uncertain environment; both developed rapidly, sustained by a coherent underlying theory and anecdotal evidence of having helped some clients. Over the past half century, psychotherapy has faced a series of crises concerned with its transformation from an art to a clinical science. These include testing the effectiveness of various forms of therapy, validating elements of treatment programs and of the assumptions underlying therapy, improving the clinical skills of individual practitioners, and considering the broader political, social, ideological and ethical issues raised by psychotherapy. It is hoped that by considering the issues that a related profession has identified, the approaches it has developed to study those issues, and the (partial) conclusions it has reached, we can facilitate the development of decision analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Baruch Fischhoff, 1980. "Clinical Decision Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 28(1), pages 28-43, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:28:y:1980:i:1:p:28-43
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.28.1.28
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Slovic & Baruch Fischhoff, 1982. "Targeting Risks," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(4), pages 227-234, December.
    2. Arthur S. Elstein, 1983. "Analytic Methods and Medical Education," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 3(3), pages 279-284, August.
    3. Peter Politser, 1981. "Decision Analysis and Clinical Judgment," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 1(4), pages 361-389, December.
    4. Fred Thompson, 1982. "Closeness counts in horseshoes and dancing ... and elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 305-316, January.
    5. Robin Gregory & Baruch Fischhoff & Tim McDaniels, 2005. "Acceptable Input: Using Decision Analysis to Guide Public Policy Deliberations," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 2(1), pages 4-16, March.

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