IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormoor/v45y2020i2p403-433.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Future Expectations Modeling, Random Coefficient Forward–Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, and Stochastic Viscosity Solutions

Author

Listed:
  • Xanthi-Isidora Kartala

    (Department of Statistics, Athens University of Economics and Business, 104 34 Athens, Greece)

  • Nikolaos Englezos

    (Department of Banking and Financial Management, University of Piraeus, 185 34 Piraeus, Greece)

  • Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

    (Department of Statistics, Athens University of Economics and Business, 104 34 Athens, Greece; Laboratory of Stochastic Modeling and Applications, Athens University of Economics and Business, 104 34 Athens, Greece)

Abstract

In this paper we study a class of infinite horizon fully coupled forward–backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) with random coefficients that are stimulated by various continuous time future expectations models. Under standard Lipschitz and monotonicity conditions and by means of the contraction mapping principle, we establish existence and uniqueness of an adapted solution, and we obtain results regarding the dependence of this solution on the data of the problem. Making further the connection with finite horizon quasilinear backward stochastic partial differential equations via a generalization of the well known four-step-scheme, we are led to the notion of stochastic viscosity solutions. As an application of this framework, we also provide a stochastic maximum principle for the optimal control problem of such FBSDEs, which in the linear-quadratic Markovian case boils down to the solvability of an infinite horizon fully coupled system of forward-backward Ricatti differential equations.

Suggested Citation

  • Xanthi-Isidora Kartala & Nikolaos Englezos & Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos, 2020. "Future Expectations Modeling, Random Coefficient Forward–Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, and Stochastic Viscosity Solutions," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 45(2), pages 403-433, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormoor:v:45:y:2020:i:2:p:403-433
    DOI: 10.1287/moor.2018.0981
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2018.0981
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/moor.2018.0981?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yin, Juliang, 2008. "On solutions of a class of infinite horizon FBSDEs," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(15), pages 2412-2419, October.
    2. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1981. "Output, the Stock Market, and Interest Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(1), pages 132-143, March.
    3. Buckdahn, Rainer & Ma, Jin, 2001. "Stochastic viscosity solutions for nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations. Part II," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 205-228, June.
    4. Buckdahn, Rainer & Ma, Jin, 2001. "Stochastic viscosity solutions for nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations. Part I," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 181-204, June.
    5. Corbae, P Dean & Neely, Christopher J & Weller, Paul, 1995. "Endogenous Realignments and the Sustainability of a Target Zone," CEPR Discussion Papers 1253, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Paul R. Krugman, 1991. "Target Zones and Exchange Rate Dynamics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(3), pages 669-682.
    7. Miller, Marcus & Weller, Paul, 1995. "Stochastic saddlepoint systems Stabilization policy and the stock market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(1-2), pages 279-302.
    8. Ma, Jin & Yong, Jiongmin, 1997. "Adapted solution of a degenerate backward spde, with applications," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 59-84, October.
    9. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-1176, December.
    10. Wu, Zhen & Xu, Mingyu, 2009. "Comparison theorems for forward backward SDEs," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(4), pages 426-435, February.
    11. Peng, Shige & Shi, Yufeng, 2000. "Infinite horizon forward-backward stochastic differential equations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 75-92, January.
    12. A. N. Yannacopoulos, 2005. "A novel approach to exchange rate control using controlled backward stochastic differential equations," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 8(1), pages 74-91, Summer.
    13. Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N., 2008. "Rational expectations models: An approach using forward-backward stochastic differential equations," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(3-4), pages 251-276, February.
    14. Cadenillas, Abel & Zapatero, Fernando, 1999. "Optimal Central Bank Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 218-242, July.
    15. Wu, Zhen, 1999. "The comparison theorem of FBSDE," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 1-6, August.
    16. Mundaca, Gabriela & Oksendal, Bernt, 1998. "Optimal stochastic intervention control with application to the exchange rate," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 225-243, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Phoebe Koundouri & Georgios I. Papayiannis & Athanasios Yannacopoulos, 2022. "Optimal Control Approaches to Sustainability under Uncertainty," DEOS Working Papers 2215, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    2. Xepapadeas, Anastasios & Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N., 2023. "Spatial growth theory: Optimality and spatial heterogeneity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N., 2008. "Rational expectations models: An approach using forward-backward stochastic differential equations," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(3-4), pages 251-276, February.
    2. Dean Corbae & Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller, 1998. "Endogenous realignments and the sustainability of a target," Working Papers 1994-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    3. Bernd Kempa & Michael Nelles, 1999. "Misalignments of real exchange rates and the credibility of nominal currency bands," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 135(4), pages 613-628, December.
    4. Gregory Gagnon, 2019. "Vanishing central bank intervention in stochastic impulse control," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 125-153, March.
    5. Eyal Neuman & Alexander Schied & Chengguo Weng & Xiaole Xue, 2020. "A central bank strategy for defending a currency peg," Papers 2008.00470, arXiv.org.
    6. Elias D. Belessakos & Christos I. Giannikos, 2002. "The "Lack" of Volatility Trade-Offs in Exchange Rate Zones with Sticky Prices," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 1(1), pages 69-78, April.
    7. Eyal Neuman & Alexander Schied, 2022. "Protecting pegged currency markets from speculative investors," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 405-420, January.
    8. Sandun Perera & Winston Buckley, 2017. "On the existence and uniqueness of the optimal central bank intervention policy in a forex market with jumps," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(8), pages 877-885, August.
    9. Antonio Francisco A. Silva Jr., 2010. "Brazilian Strategy for Managing the Risk of Foreign Exchange Rate Exposure During a Crisis," Working Papers Series 207, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    10. Giorgio Ferrari & Tiziano Vargiolu, 2020. "On the singular control of exchange rates," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 292(2), pages 795-832, September.
    11. Miller, Marcus & Weller, Paul, 1995. "Stochastic saddlepoint systems Stabilization policy and the stock market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(1-2), pages 279-302.
    12. Miller, M. & Weller, P., 1988. "Solving Stochastic Saddlepoint Systems: A Qualitative Treatment With Economic Applications," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 309, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    13. Sutherland, Alan, 1995. "Monetary and real shocks and the optimal target zone," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 161-172, January.
    14. Ken Miyajima, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention and expectation in emerging economies," BIS Working Papers 414, Bank for International Settlements.
    15. Jukka Isohätälä & Alistair Milne & Donald Robertson, 2020. "The Net Worth Trap: Investment and Output Dynamics in the Presence of Financing Constraints," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-32, August.
    16. John H. Rogers, 1995. "Real shocks and real exchange rates in really long-term data," International Finance Discussion Papers 493, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    17. Stuart Landon & Constance E. Smith, 2003. "The Risk Premium, Exchange Rate Expectations, and the Forward Exchange Rate: Estimates for the Yen–Dollar Rate," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(1), pages 144-158, February.
    18. Baccarin, Stefano, 2009. "Optimal impulse control for a multidimensional cash management system with generalized cost functions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 198-206, July.
    19. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Kempa, Bernd & Nelles, Michael, 1998. "On the Viability of Exchange Rate Target Zones in a Mundell-Fleming Model with Stochastic Output Shocks," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 603-619, October.
    21. Cushman, David O. & Breuer, Janice Boucher, 2007. "Exchange rates and international financial assets: A special issue in honor of Stanley W. Black," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 231-234.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormoor:v:45:y:2020:i:2:p:403-433. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.