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Unifying Procedure-Dependent Preference Reversals: Theory and Experiments

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  • Liang Guo

    (Department of Marketing, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China)

Abstract

Revealed preferences between alternatives can be systematically reversed across a variety of elicitation procedures (e.g., choice, valuation, matching, joint/separate evaluation). These puzzling findings have been usually invoked to challenge the procedure invariance principle. Yet procedure-dependent preferences can be endogenous. This paper presents a unifying theory of contextual deliberation to account for seemingly disparate phenomena of preference reversals. When attribute importance is ex ante imperfectly known, people can engage in costly information retrieval/acquisition activities (i.e., deliberation) prior to making decisions. Elicitation procedures can influence revealed preferences through affecting the incentive for deliberation. Therefore, contextual deliberation can endogenously yield procedure-dependent preference reversals, offer a common microfoundation for extant psychological accounts (e.g., the prominence hypothesis, the evaluability hypothesis), and coherently organize apparently unrelated/inconsistent findings in the literature. We also run five experiments and document new findings that are inconsistent with extant hypotheses but can be reconciled by contextual deliberation.

Suggested Citation

  • Liang Guo, 2024. "Unifying Procedure-Dependent Preference Reversals: Theory and Experiments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(11), pages 8163-8186, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:70:y:2024:i:11:p:8163-8186
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2021.02640
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