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Trading as Gambling

Author

Listed:
  • Anne Jones Dorn

    (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104)

  • Daniel Dorn

    (LeBow College of Business, Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104)

  • Paul Sengmueller

    (CentER, Tilburg University, 5037 AB Tilburg, The Netherlands)

Abstract

This paper offers evidence from three different samples consistent with investors substituting between playing the lottery and gambling in financial markets. In the United States, increases in the jackpots of the multistate lotteries Powerball and Mega Millions are associated with significant reductions in small trade participation in the stock market. California-based discount brokerage clients and German discount brokerage clients are significantly less likely to trade during weeks with larger lottery prizes in the California and German lotteries, respectively. Variation in lottery prizes affects speculative trading in more lottery-like securities such as individual stocks and options, but not trading in bonds and mutual funds. Trading that is likely associated with long-term savings motives, such as trading in retirement accounts, does not respond to lottery jackpots, either. The negative relation between trading activity and jackpots is stronger for individuals who are more likely to play the lottery. This paper was accepted by Brad Barber, finance.

Suggested Citation

  • Anne Jones Dorn & Daniel Dorn & Paul Sengmueller, 2015. "Trading as Gambling," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(10), pages 2376-2393, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:61:y:2015:i:10:p:2376-2393
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2014.1979
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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