IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormnsc/v30y1984i4p503-511.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risks of Catastrophic Derailments Involving the Release of Hazardous Materials

Author

Listed:
  • Theodore S. Glickman

    (School of Engineering, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Falls Church, Virginia 22042)

  • Donald B. Rosenfield

    (Operations Research Section, Arthur D. Little, Inc., Acorn Park, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140)

Abstract

Models are formulated and computed to assess the risks of hazardous materials releases in train derailments in terms of: the probability of any number of fatalities in an accident, the probability of any total number of fatalities from all the accidents in a year, and the frequency of accidents which result in any given number of fatalities. These functions are evaluated using data bases and analytical methods which provide estimates of exposure levels (traffic volumes, track conditions and population densities), spill occurrence and spill size probabilities, and fatal spill impacts (the size of the lethal area in any given accident scenario). Despite the sparsity of historical data, this methodology enables us to express the potential for catastrophic occurrences in quantitative terms, to compare these numbers with estimates of other risks, and to examine the effects of selective variations in the model inputs.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore S. Glickman & Donald B. Rosenfield, 1984. "Risks of Catastrophic Derailments Involving the Release of Hazardous Materials," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(4), pages 503-511, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:30:y:1984:i:4:p:503-511
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.30.4.503
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.30.4.503
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/mnsc.30.4.503?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Manish Verma & Vedat Verter & Michel Gendreau, 2011. "A Tactical Planning Model for Railroad Transportation of Dangerous Goods," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(2), pages 163-174, May.
    2. P. Daniel Wright & Matthew J. Liberatore & Robert L. Nydick, 2006. "A Survey of Operations Research Models and Applications in Homeland Security," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 514-529, December.
    3. Fang, Kan & Ke, Ginger Y. & Verma, Manish, 2017. "A routing and scheduling approach to rail transportation of hazardous materials with demand due dates," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(1), pages 154-168.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:30:y:1984:i:4:p:503-511. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.