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A Bayesian Approach to Test Market Selection

Author

Listed:
  • Vithala R. Rao

    (Cornell University)

  • Frederick W. Winter

    (University of Illinois)

Abstract

A model that addresses the problem of selecting test units for test marketing is described. The model is based on Bayesian procedures and utilizes data on the relationships between test unit sales and equilibrium market performance. An illustrative application incorporates the use of historical data in a Bayesian decision framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Vithala R. Rao & Frederick W. Winter, 1981. "A Bayesian Approach to Test Market Selection," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(12), pages 1351-1369, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:27:y:1981:i:12:p:1351-1369
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.27.12.1351
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    Cited by:

    1. Günter J. Hitsch, 2006. "An Empirical Model of Optimal Dynamic Product Launch and Exit Under Demand Uncertainty," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(1), pages 25-50, 01-02.

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