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The Evolution of Energy Modeling at the Federal Energy Administration and the Energy Information Administration

Author

Listed:
  • Frederic H. Murphy

    (School of Business and Management, Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19122)

  • Susan H. Shaw

    (Energy Information Administration, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585)

Abstract

Energy modeling at the Energy Information Administration started with the Project Independence Evaluation System in 1974 and moved to the Intermediate Future Forecasting System in 1983, which was replaced by the National Energy Modeling System in 1993. The models were shaped by the forces affecting energy markets and by policy concerns. These forces included changing world markets for oil, shortages of natural gas, and environmental concerns. The models have been used to analyze legislative proposals, and these analyses have met with a variety of reactions that ranged from extreme gratitude to rage. Working as policy analysts when energy issues were at the center of national attention was exciting, exhausting, rewarding, and at times dismaying.

Suggested Citation

  • Frederic H. Murphy & Susan H. Shaw, 1995. "The Evolution of Energy Modeling at the Federal Energy Administration and the Energy Information Administration," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 25(5), pages 173-193, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:orinte:v:25:y:1995:i:5:p:173-193
    DOI: 10.1287/inte.25.5.173
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Thanh Luong & Frederic H. Murphy & Reginald Sanders & Susan H. Holte & Peter Whitman, 1998. "Modeling the Impacts of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 28(2), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Frederic H. Murphy, 2005. "ASP, The Art and Science of Practice: Elements of a Theory of the Practice of Operations Research: Expertise in Practice," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 35(4), pages 313-322, August.
    3. Frederic H. Murphy & Murthy V. Mudrageda, 1998. "A Decomposition Approach for a Class of Economic Equilibrium Models," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 368-377, June.
    4. W. Chung & J. Fuller & Y. Wu, 2003. "A New Demand-Supply Decomposition Method for a Class of Economic Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 21(3), pages 231-243, June.
    5. Persaud, A. Jai & Kumar, Uma, 2001. "An eclectic approach in energy forecasting: a case of Natural Resources Canada's (NRCan's) oil and gas outlook," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 303-313, March.

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