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Conjecturing-Based Discovery of Patterns in Data

Author

Listed:
  • J. Paul Brooks

    (Department of Information Systems, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284)

  • David J. Edwards

    (Department of Statistical Sciences and Operations Research, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284)

  • Craig E. Larson

    (Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia 23284)

  • Nico Van Cleemput

    (Department of Applied Mathematics, Computer Science and Statistics, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, Belgium)

Abstract

We propose the use of a conjecturing machine that suggests feature relationships in the form of bounds involving nonlinear terms for numerical features and Boolean expressions for categorical features. The proposed C onjecturing framework recovers known nonlinear and Boolean relationships among features from data. In both settings, true underlying relationships are revealed. We then compare the method to a previously proposed framework for symbolic regression on the ability to recover equations that are satisfied among features in a data set. The framework is then applied to patient-level data regarding COVID-19 outcomes to suggest possible risk factors that are confirmed in the medical literature. Discovering patterns in data is a first step toward establishing causal relationships, which can be the basis for effective decision making.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Paul Brooks & David J. Edwards & Craig E. Larson & Nico Van Cleemput, 2024. "Conjecturing-Based Discovery of Patterns in Data," INFORMS Joural on Data Science, INFORMS, vol. 3(2), pages 179-202, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:orijds:v:3:y:2024:i:2:p:179-202
    DOI: 10.1287/ijds.2021.0043
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pat Langley, 2019. "Scientific discovery, causal explanation, and process model induction," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 18(1), pages 43-56, June.
    2. Lorillee Tallorin & JiaLei Wang & Woojoo E. Kim & Swagat Sahu & Nicolas M. Kosa & Pu Yang & Matthew Thompson & Michael K. Gilson & Peter I. Frazier & Michael D. Burkart & Nathan C. Gianneschi, 2018. "Discovering de novo peptide substrates for enzymes using machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
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