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Expectativas para operaciones financieras en los Sectores Vulnerables mediante Matrices de Transición

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Lagunas Puls

    (Universidad del Caribe, Departamento de Economía y Negocios)

  • Julio Cesar Ramirez Pacheco

    (Universidad del Caribe, Departamento de Ciencias Básicas e Ingenierías)

Abstract

El objetivo general es estimar escenarios para el volumen de operaciones que puedan presentarse en Sectores Vulnerables, susceptibles de recibir operaciones financieras ilícitas. El método empleado son las matrices estocásticas también denominadas de transición, en virtud de haber demostrado eficacia en la prevención de riesgo financiero, los resultados permitieron conocer el volumen de operaciones que podrían ser reportadas para un período de hasta 36 meses posterior a la información histórica a septiembre del 2014. Como parte de los análisis estocásticos, los resultados aportan elementos para que la inteligencia financiera pueda analizar con mayor profundidad a ciertos sectores hasta confirmar o no la procedencia ilícita. El método no había sido empleado hasta ahora para la estimación de operaciones con recursos de procedencia ilícita.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Lagunas Puls & Julio Cesar Ramirez Pacheco, 2017. "Expectativas para operaciones financieras en los Sectores Vulnerables mediante Matrices de Transición," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 12(2), pages 71-101, Abril-Jun.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:12:y:2017:i:2:p:71-101
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sectores vulnerables; Recursos de procedencia ilícita; Matrices de transición;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • M48 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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