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Cross-Border Macroprudential Policy Spillovers and Bank Risk-Taking

Author

Listed:
  • Fergal McCann

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • Conor O'Toole

    (Economic and Social Research Institute, Trinity College Dublin)

Abstract

We test whether there was a change in risk-taking by Irish banks in the U.K. mortgage market following the introduction of macroprudential limits on loan-to-value (LTV) and loan-toincome (LTI) ratios in Ireland in early 2015. Using confidential loan-level data on lending in the Irish and U.K. mortgage markets, we provide evidence of risk spillovers whereby Irish banks increased their LTV and LTI ratios on lending abroad in response to the regulatory macroprudential tightening at home. We find heterogeneous effects across groups of borrowers, with LTVs and LTIs increasing most for first-time homebuyers (FTBs). We estimate that, relative to a control group of local lenders, the probability of a high-risk loan being issued by an Irish bank in the U.K. mortgage market increased by 16 percent overall, and by 28 percent in the FTB segment, after the policy introduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Fergal McCann & Conor O'Toole, 2019. "Cross-Border Macroprudential Policy Spillovers and Bank Risk-Taking," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 267-311, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2019:q:4:a:8
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Eller, Markus & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Schuberth, Helene & Vashold, Lukas, 2021. "The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    2. Katharina Bergant & Francesco Grigoli & Niels‐Jakob Hansen & Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1405-1438, September.
    3. Henry Penikas, 2023. "IRB Asset and Default Correlation: Rationale for the Macroprudential Mark-Ups to the IRB Risk-Weights," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 1-27, March.
    4. Kristin J. Forbes, 2021. "The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 203-228, August.
    5. Conor O'Toole & Kieran McQuinn & Philip Economides, 2021. "Household savings constraints, uncertainty and macroprudential policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(2), pages 238-260, May.
    6. Auer, Raphael & Matyunina, Alexandra & Ongena, Steven, 2022. "The countercyclical capital buffer and the composition of bank lending," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    7. Henry Penikas, 2020. "IRB Asset and Default Correlation: Rationale for the Macroprudential Add-ons to the Risk-Weights," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps56, Bank of Russia.
    8. Yang, Zheng & You, Yu, 2023. "The impacts of macroprudential regulations on extreme episodes in bank flows: Whose policy helps and whose policy harms?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    9. Beck, Roland & Berganza, Juan Carlos & Brüggemann, Axel & Cezar, Rafael & Eijking, Carlijn & Eller, Markus & Fuentes, Alberto & Alves, Joel Graça & Kreitz, Lilian & Marsilli, Clement & Moder, Isabella, 2023. "Recent advances in the literature on capital flow management," Occasional Paper Series 317, European Central Bank.
    10. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    11. Stefanie Behncke, 2023. "Effects of Macroprudential Policies on Bank Lending and Credit Risks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 63(2), pages 175-199, April.
    12. Kozlovtceva, Irina & Penikas, Henry & Petreneva, Ekaterina & Ushakova, Yulia, 2022. "Macroprudential policy efficiency in Russia: Assessment for the uncollateralized consumer loans," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    13. Sandri, Damiano & Bergant, Katharina & Grigoli, Francesco & Hansen, Niels-Jakob, 2020. "Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14948, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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