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Turkey as a candidate country for full membership in the European Union: A comparison with Maastricht criteria

Author

Listed:
  • Kılıç SÜLEYMAN BİLGİN

    (Çukurova Üniversitesi)

  • Mehmet Fatih CİN

    (Çukurova Üniversitesi)

  • Kenan LOPCU

    (Çukurova Üniversitesi)

Abstract

In this study, it is shown that most of the countries that joined the European Union (EU) in 2004 fail to qualify for economic integration with the EU because they do not meet the Maastricht criteria. This suggests that the decision by the EU welcoming these countries as full members reflects a political bias rather than an economic reality. However, the importance of Maastricht criteria must not be neglected in the future negotiation process. The logit sensitivity analysis results in this study reveal that the public deficit and inflation rates ought to be reduced to around 4% in order for Turkey to be ready for economic integration. Once these rates are realized, Turkey would be in a stronger economic position in the negotiation process with the EU, which may help reduce the duration process towards full membership.

Suggested Citation

  • Kılıç SÜLEYMAN BİLGİN & Mehmet Fatih CİN & Kenan LOPCU, 2006. "Turkey as a candidate country for full membership in the European Union: A comparison with Maastricht criteria," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 21(246), pages 98-109.
    • Handle: RePEc:iif:iifjrn:v:21:y:2006:i:246:p:98-109
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    european union; maastricht criteria; logit analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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