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A Systems Approach to Understanding Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East in the Face of a Global Water Shortage

Author

Listed:
  • Raya A. Al-Masri

    (University of Surrey, UK)

  • Theodoros Spyridopoulos

    (Toshiba Research Europe Ltd., UK)

  • Stylianos Karatzas

    (University of Patras, Greece)

  • Vasiliki Lazari

    (University of Patras, Greece)

  • Theo Tryfonas

    (University of Bristol, UK)

Abstract

In this paper the potential for conflict in the Middle East due to the depleting of regional water reserves is explored and the implications for regional policy making, in the light of other tensions are investigated. We use System Dynamics to develop a model for water resources management and explore via simulation issues that emerge as important, in order to highlight required policies. This analysis validates part of the existing thinking and policies in place and signifies further the need for transboundary cooperation and emphasis on areas that may not be viewed traditionally as key priorities (e.g. demand management, as opposed to continuity of supply).

Suggested Citation

  • Raya A. Al-Masri & Theodoros Spyridopoulos & Stylianos Karatzas & Vasiliki Lazari & Theo Tryfonas, 2021. "A Systems Approach to Understanding Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East in the Face of a Global Water Shortage," International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), IGI Global, vol. 10(4), pages 1-23, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:igg:jsda00:v:10:y:2021:i:4:p:1-23
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Courcier, R. & Venot, Jean-Philippe & Molle, François, 2005. "Historical transformations of the Lower Jordan River Basin in Jordan: changes in water use and projections (1950-2025)," IWMI Research Reports H038306, International Water Management Institute.
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