IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/igg/jaeis0/v4y2013i2p23-36.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Forecasting Method for Fertilizers Consumption in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Ogasawara

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Daniel de Oliveira

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Fabio Paschoal Junior

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Rafael Castaneda

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Myrna Amorim

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Renato Mauro

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Jorge Soares

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • João Quadros

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

  • Eduardo Bezerra

    (CEFET-Federal Center of Technological Education Celso Suckow da Fonseca, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)

Abstract

Tracking information about fertilizers consumption in the world is very important since they are used to produce agriculture commodities. Brazil consumes a large amount of fertilizers due to its large-scale agriculture fields. Most of these fertilizers are currently imported. The analysis of consumption of major fertilizers, such as Nitrogen-Phosphorus-Potassium (NPK), Sulfur, Phosphate Rock, Potash, and Nitrogen become critical for long-term government decisions. In this paper we present a method for fertilizers consumption forecasting based on both Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and logistic function models. Our method was used to forecast fertilizers consumption in Brazil for the next 20 years considering different economic growth for the entire country.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Ogasawara & Daniel de Oliveira & Fabio Paschoal Junior & Rafael Castaneda & Myrna Amorim & Renato Mauro & Jorge Soares & João Quadros & Eduardo Bezerra, 2013. "A Forecasting Method for Fertilizers Consumption in Brazil," International Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Information Systems (IJAEIS), IGI Global, vol. 4(2), pages 23-36, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:igg:jaeis0:v:4:y:2013:i:2:p:23-36
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://services.igi-global.com/resolvedoi/resolve.aspx?doi=10.4018/jaeis.2013040103
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Doussoulin, Jean Pierre & Mougenot, Benoit, 2022. "Mapping mining and ecological distribution conflicts in Latin America, a bibliometric analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:igg:jaeis0:v:4:y:2013:i:2:p:23-36. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Journal Editor (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.igi-global.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.